General synopsis

At 250000UTC, low 49 north 40 west 979 expected 54 north 40 west 940 by 260000UTC. Low 55 north 38 west 979 losing its identity

Area forecasts for the next 24 hours

Sole

West or northwest, becoming cyclonic later, 6 to gale 8, decreasing 4 to 6 for a time. Very rough or high. Showers, rain later. Moderate or poor.

Shannon

Northwest 6 to gale 8, backing west 3 to 5, becoming cyclonic 6 to gale 8 later, occasionally severe gale 9 later. High at first in southwest, otherwise rough or very rough. Showers, rain later. Moderate or poor.

Rockall

In southwest, cyclonic 3 to 5, becoming southeasterly 7 to severe gale 9 later. in northeast, easterly or southeasterly 6 to gale 8, occasionally severe gale 9 later. Rough or very rough. In southwest, showers, rain later. in northeast, showers. In southwest, good, occasionally poor. in northeast, moderate or good.

Bailey

Easterly or southeasterly 6 to gale 8, occasionally severe gale 9 later. Rough or very rough, occasionally high later in west. Showers. Moderate or good.

Faeroes

Easterly or southeasterly 6 to gale 8. Rough or very rough, becoming moderate or rough in northeast. Showers. Moderate or good.

Southeast Iceland

Easterly or southeasterly 6 to gale 8. Rough or very rough. Showers. Moderate or good.

East Northern Section

In north

Cyclonic 4 to 6 at first in far southwest, otherwise easterly 6 to gale 8, increasing severe gale 9 at times. Rough or very rough becoming very rough or high. Squally showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor.

In south

Cyclonic, becoming easterly or southeasterly for a time, 4 to 6, increasing 7 to severe gale 9, then decreasing 4 to 6 again later in south. Rough or very rough, becoming very rough or high later. Occasional rain or squally showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor.

West Northern Section

In area north of 64 north

Easterly or northeasterly 7 to severe gale 9, but severe gale 9 to violent storm 11 until later in west. Very rough or high. Rain at times, squally showers later. Moderate or poor.

In rest of northern half of area

Variable 2 to 4 at first except in northeast and far southwest, otherwise easterly 6 to gale 8, veering northeasterly 7 to severe gale 9. Rough or very rough becoming very rough or high. Squally showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor.

In southern half of area

Cyclonic mainly easterly, 7 to severe gale 9, but severe gale 9 to violent storm 11 until later in south, decreasing 4 to 6 later in southeast. Rough or very rough becoming very rough or high, occasionally very high. Occasional rain or squally showers, wintry at times. Moderate to very poor, occasionally good at first.

East Central Section

In east

Northwesterly 5 to 7, becoming cyclonic 7 to severe gale 9, then southwesterly 5 to 7 later. Very rough or high, occasionally rough in north and very high at first in south. Showers at first in northeast, otherwise fair, then rain, squally showers later. Moderate or poor, occasionally good at first.

In west

Southerly or southeasterly veering southwesterly, 7 to severe gale 9, occasionally storm 10 at first in northwest, then decreasing 6 at times in north and also later elsewhere. Very rough or high, occasionally rough at first in north. Fair at first in north and east, otherwise occasional rain, then squally wintry showers. Moderate or poor, occasionally good.

West Central Section

Cyclonic, becoming mainly westerly or southwesterly in south and east, severe gale 9 to violent storm 11, occasionally gale 8 in south and east, then decreasing 7 to severe gale 9 in east. Very rough or high becoming high or very high. Rain at first in north and east, otherwise squally sleet and snow showers. Moderate to very poor.

Denmark Strait

Easterly or northeasterly, storm 10 or violent storm 11 until later in far west, otherwise 6 to gale 8, occasionally severe gale 9 in west. High in far west, otherwise rough or very rough in west and moderate or rough in east. Rain, sleet and snow at first in far west, otherwise sleet and snow showers. Good, occasionally poor, or very poor at first in far west. Occasional light icing near the ice with temperatures around ms02.

North Iceland

In north

Variable 2 to 4, becoming northerly or northwesterly 4 to 6 later. Moderate. Snow showers. Good, occasionally poor. Severe or very severe icing developing later near the ice with temperatures ms11 to ms13.

In south

Easterly or northeasterly 4 to 6, occasionally 7 just north of Iceland. Moderate or rough. Wintry showers. Good, occasionally poor.

Norwegian Basin

Southeasterly at first in far south, otherwise easterly or northeasterly, 3 to 5, occasionally 6 later. Rough at first in west, otherwise mainly moderate. Showers, wintry at times. Good, occasionally moderate.

Outlook for following 24 hours

Violent storms expected in West Central Section with storms in East Northern Section, West Northern Section and Denmark Strait. Severe gales expected in Rockall, Bailey, Faeroes, Southeast Iceland and East Central Section with gales in Sole, Shannon and north Iceland.

Unscheduled storm warnings are broadcast via Safetynet and in bulletin WONT54 EGRR available via some internet and ftpmail outlets