2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
20
|
SW
19
|
SW
18
|
WSW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
17
|
SW
17
|
SW
15
|
WSW
14
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
12
|
WSW
11
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
38
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
35
|
34
|
32
|
30
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
25
|
23
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
87%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
89%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
30%
|
30%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
70%
|
50%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
9
|
SSW
12
|
SSW
15
|
S
17
|
S
19
|
S
20
|
S
20
|
S
21
|
S
23
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
25
|
SE
25
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
22
|
SE
22
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
26
|
29
|
31
|
33
|
34
|
37
|
39
|
42
|
43
|
44
|
44
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
42
|
42
|
42
|
42
|
40
|
39
|
37
|
38
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
83%
|
82%
|
83%
|
81%
|
80%
|
76%
|
76%
|
77%
|
79%
|
81%
|
81%
|
78%
|
79%
|
76%
|
76%
|
76%
|
76%
|
76%
|
79%
|
80%
|
81%
|
82%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
22
|
SE
21
|
SE
21
|
SE
21
|
SE
20
|
SE
19
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
17
|
ESE
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
16
|
ENE
16
|
ENE
16
|
E
15
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
38
|
37
|
37
|
37
|
35
|
32
|
32
|
30
|
28
|
27
|
28
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
90%
|
90%
|
89%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
89%
|
89%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
89%
|
90%
|
90%
|
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
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17:00
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18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
15
|
E
15
|
ESE
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
16
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
ESE
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
21
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
21
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
92%
|
91%
|
91%
|
90%
|
89%
|
89%
|
88%
|
87%
|
89%
|
87%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
17
|
ESE
17
|
ESE
16
|
ESE
16
|
ESE
16
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
16
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
15
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
26
|
24
|
22
|
24
|
21
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
21
|
24
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
82%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
13
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
11
|
E
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
78%
|
81%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
11
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
82%
|
84%
|
83%
|
80%
|
80%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Annalong weather map
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Showers for Friday, which ease through the afternoon.
Scattered showers through the morning, focused west of Lough Neagh. Showers easing through the afternoon as the brighter spells increase. Strong west to southwest winds, easing towards early evening. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Mainly dry for the evening with clear spells and easing winds. Cloud increasing in eastern districts overnight, with some scattered showers developing here by dawn. Minimum temperature 5 °C.
Mix of scattered light showers and limited brighter spells for the morning. Cloud thickening for afternoon, with occasional rain spreading from south later in day, as strong southeast winds develop. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Southeast winds maintaining rather cloudy skies, with showers or longer periods of light to moderate rain focused over eastern areas.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure will probably be close to the UK at the start of this period, perhaps most likely centred to the west, and whilst this may allow relatively settled and dry conditions with a risk of frost and fog initially, there will be the chance of some occasional wet weather at times, perhaps more especially in the north and east. Given some relatively cold air close to the UK, this may bring the chance of some wintry hazards in places. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to develop more widely, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: