Space Weather

Space weather describes changing environmental conditions in near-Earth space. Magnetic fields, radiation, particles and matter, which have been ejected from the Sun, can interact with the Earth’s upper atmosphere and surrounding magnetic field to produce a  variety of effects.

Image courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams

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Aurora forecasts

Northern Hemisphere

The auroral oval is expected to be largely at Background levels, resulting in only limited opportunities for auroral visibility. Any viewing prospects will be further constrained by the short hours of darkness typical of this time of year.

Southern Hemisphere

The auroral oval is expected to remain close to background levels, resulting in limited auroral activity. Any visible displays are likely to remain confined to the Antarctic continent, with little to no expansion toward lower latitudes.

Issued at: 14:33 (GMT) on Tue 16 Jun 2026

Forecast overview

Space Weather Forecast Headline: No significant activity.

Analysis of Space Weather Activity over past 24 hours

Solar Activity: Low with only Common class flares observed. There are six relatively small and simple sunspots on the Earth-facing disc. These are mostly magnetically simple and relatively inactive.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: Solar wind parameters have been indicative of slow regime, with speeds mostly between 400-450 km/s and decreasing. The magnetic field surrounding Earth was weak, including the important north-south component. However, some slight fluctuations may indicate a weak glancing influence from the CME observed departing the sun on 12 June. Geomagnetic Activity was Quiet.  

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: The count rate of energetic particles (high energy protons) was at background with no solar radiation storms observed.

Four-Day Space Weather Forecast Summary

Solar Activity: Low or very low solar activity levels are forecast with only a slight chance of rising to Moderate due if an isolated Moderate-class flare occurs.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: No CMEs currently feature in the forecast. Solar wind speeds are expected to remain unremarkable and mostly at Slightly Elevated levels otherwise, with no significant enhancement anticipated. Overall geomagnetic activity is expected to remain mostly Quiet (Kp 0-2) throughout the period, with isolated Unsettled (Kp3) intervals.

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: The count rate of energetic particles (high energy protons) is forecast to persist at Background with no solar radiation storms occurring.

Issued at: 11:30 (GMT) on Tue 16 Jun 2026

Solar imagery

SDO AIA-193

This channel highlights the outer atmosphere of the Sun - called the corona - as well as hot flare plasma. Hot active regions, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections will appear bright here. The dark areas - called coronal holes - are places where very little radiation is emitted, yet are the main source of solar wind particles.

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SDO AIA-304

This channel is especially good at showing areas where cooler dense plumes of plasma (filaments and prominences) are located above the visible surface of the Sun. Many of these features either can't be seen or appear as dark lines in the other channels. The bright areas show places where the plasma has a high density.

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