Space Weather Forecast Headline: Chance of R1/Minor Radio Blackouts throughout. 

Analysis of Space Weather Activity over past 24 hours

Solar Activity: Solar activity has been Low, with Common-class flares observed in the last 24 hours, peaking at 23/0624 UTC. There are currently four sunspot regions on the visible disc. One in the east remains the most notable region on the disc, due to its size and magnetic complexity. This region has two clear delta spots, both in the intermediate portion and the trailing portion, with north-south shear evident in the intermediate delta. The other notable region is also in the northeast, continuing to grow, though with a simple open bipolar structure at present. The remaining two regions are smaller and magnetically simple.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the last 24 hours.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: Solar winds were indicative of a waning high speed stream regime. Speeds fell from Slightly Elevated  to Slow-Ambient. Interplanetary Magnetic Field was Weak. The north-south component varied Weakly. Geomagnetic activity was Quiet (Kp 1-2). 

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: GOES18 >10MeV proton flux was a little above normal background levels, but below the S1/Minor Radiation Storm threshold.

Four-Day Space Weather Forecast Summary

Solar Activity: Low activity is expected to continue, with a chance of becoming Moderate, and a slight chance of becoming High.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: No Earth directed coronal mass ejections are currently expected during the forecast period. Slow-Ambient solar winds are expected through Days 1 and 2 (24-25 Aug). The next enhancement will be from coronal hole fast winds, arriving at Earth either late on Day 3 (26 Aug), or more likely on Day 4 (27 Aug), with wind speeds increasing to Elevated.

Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain Quiet (Kp0-2) for much of the period. Activity is expected to increase to Unsettled to Active (Kp3-4) later Day 3 or more likely Day 4 (26/27 Aug), with an increasing Chance of G1/Minor Storm intervals (Kp5) as the anticipated fast winds arrive.

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: There is a slight chance of solar radiation reaching above the S1/Minor radiation storm threshold throughout the period.