Space Weather

Space weather describes changing environmental conditions in near-Earth space. Magnetic fields, radiation, particles and matter, which have been ejected from the Sun, can interact with the Earth’s upper atmosphere and surrounding magnetic field to produce a  variety of effects.

Image courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams

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Aurora forecasts

Northern Hemisphere

Geomagnetic activity is expected to be largely at Background levels, with only limited visibility . This will be further restricted at this time of year due to the limited hours of darkness.

Southern Hemisphere

Geomagnetic activity is expected to be largely at Background levels, with only limited visibility and remaining restricted to the Antarctic continent

Issued at: 21:55 (GMT) on Sun 14 Jun 2026

Forecast overview

Space Weather Forecast Headline: No significant activity

Analysis of Space Weather Activity over past 24 hours

Solar Activity: Low with two Common class flares observed. There are four small and simple sunspots on the Earth-facing disc, however these are all magnetically simple and relatively inactive. The only growth has been in the new small region emerging on the northeast disc.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: CME arrival was observed early on the 13 Jun, likely from the glancing impact of the 11 Jun CME. Otherwise fast winds of CH63/- continued. Solar winds were initially Strong at 630km/s, but declined to Elevated, then Slightly Elevated, currently around 490km/s, by the end of the period. Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF), Bt, was generally Moderate to Weak. The north-south component, Bz, was variable throughout, but favoured a negative (southward) orientation. Geomagnetic Activity was Quiet to Unsettled (Kp 1-3).  

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: The count rate of energetic particles (high energy protons) was at background with no solar radiation storms observed.

Four-Day Space Weather Forecast Summary

Solar Activity: Low activity is forecast with only a slight chance of rising to Moderate due to isolated Moderate-class flares.

Solar Wind / Geomagnetic Activity: There is a small chance of a glancing CME arrival on day 2 (15 Jun), however a significant impact is unlikely. Otherwise, the ongoing fast wind is expected to only gradually ease, with solar winds fading from Elevated to Background day 3 or day 4 (16-17 Jun). The next fast wind enhancement, from a small coronal hole, is expected later on day 4 (17 Jun), with solar winds likely becoming Slightly Elevated. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mainly Quiet with Unsettled intervals. Any glancing CME, or any fast wind enhancement from CH67/+ will bring the chance of Active spells with a slight chance of G1 Minor Storm intervals. 

Energetic Particles / Solar Radiation: The count rate of energetic particles (high energy protons) is forecast to persist at Background with no solar radiation storms occurring.

Issued at: 12:01 (GMT) on Sun 14 Jun 2026

Solar imagery

SDO AIA-193

This channel highlights the outer atmosphere of the Sun - called the corona - as well as hot flare plasma. Hot active regions, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections will appear bright here. The dark areas - called coronal holes - are places where very little radiation is emitted, yet are the main source of solar wind particles.

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SDO AIA-304

This channel is especially good at showing areas where cooler dense plumes of plasma (filaments and prominences) are located above the visible surface of the Sun. Many of these features either can't be seen or appear as dark lines in the other channels. The bright areas show places where the plasma has a high density.

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