Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
22
|
NNW
21
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
17
|
N
16
|
N
16
|
N
16
|
N
16
|
N
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
91%
|
90%
|
88%
|
81%
|
76%
|
72%
|
74%
|
74%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
77%
|
83%
|
85%
|
88%
|
92%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
20
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
P
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
86%
|
84%
|
75%
|
69%
|
64%
|
60%
|
56%
|
57%
|
59%
|
61%
|
63%
|
66%
|
70%
|
77%
|
84%
|
87%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NW
15
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
92%
|
90%
|
87%
|
84%
|
83%
|
82%
|
81%
|
83%
|
85%
|
88%
|
89%
|
92%
|
93%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
17
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
96%
|
94%
|
93%
|
90%
|
85%
|
83%
|
81%
|
79%
|
81%
|
80%
|
81%
|
86%
|
87%
|
89%
|
92%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
14
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
94%
|
92%
|
89%
|
85%
|
83%
|
80%
|
81%
|
81%
|
83%
|
86%
|
87%
|
90%
|
92%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
11°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
14
|
17
|
18
|
20
|
20
|
18
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
93%
|
86%
|
77%
|
71%
|
75%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
11°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
11
|
W
10
|
WSW
9
|
W
11
|
W
13
|
W
14
|
WNW
16
|
W
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
15
|
21
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
20
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
93%
|
92%
|
82%
|
68%
|
65%
|
71%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
Crockbrack weather map
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Dry with good sunny spells after a cloudy start.
It will be a dry day. After a rather cloudy start - especially in the north - the cloud will break up to allow some sunny spells again. Warm in the southeast, cooler around the north coast. Maximum temperature 21 °C.
It will stay dry throughout the evening and overnight. Some spells of evening sunshine but gradually turning hazier. Some clear spells possible overnight, cloudier in the north. Minimum temperature 9 °C.
Dry and warm with lengthy sunny spells for much of the day, but cloud spreads south in the evening with the odd spot of light rain possible in the north. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
Cloudy starts with some patchy light rain in the north. Warm sunny intervals developing in the south through the afternoons, staying cloudier and cooler in the north.
Updated:
Most places will be dry at first with sunny spells, especially in the south, while northern and northwestern areas see more cloud and occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Through the weekend and into next week, conditions become a little more changeable, with showers and some longer spells of rain increasingly likely, mainly across northern parts of the UK. Further south, many places should stay drier overall with some good sunshine, although a few showers cannot be ruled out. Towards the end of the period, confidence becomes lower, but there are signs that more settled and drier conditions may return, particularly in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, though occasionally fresh in the north, while temperatures are expected to be near or above average, warmest in the south.
Updated:
Confidence is always low at these lead times, especially during the summer, but signs are that high pressure will return to bring settled and mainly dry weather, especially across the south. While some showers or longer spells of rain may still affect northern parts at times early in the period, these are expected to become less frequent if dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see a good deal of dry weather with sunny spells, occasional showers or even thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. Temperatures are likely to remain above average overall, with the potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and stronger winds possible around coastal areas at times.
Updated: