Deep emission cuts before mid-century decisive to reduce long-term sea-level rise legacy
Rising seas are irreversible on human time scales and among the most severe consequences of climate change.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
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<5%
|
10%
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70%
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70%
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70%
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50%
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30%
|
10%
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40%
|
10%
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20%
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10%
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10%
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10%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
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6°
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6°
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6°
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6°
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7°
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8°
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8°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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8°
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8°
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8°
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8°
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7°
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7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
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2°
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2°
|
3°
|
4°
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4°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
17
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SSW
16
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SSW
16
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SSW
18
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SSW
19
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SSW
20
|
SSW
20
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SSW
22
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SW
24
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WSW
25
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WSW
25
|
W
22
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WNW
18
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W
15
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W
14
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W
14
|
WNW
14
|
W
14
|
W
11
|
WNW
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
19
|
20
|
22
|
26
|
30
|
33
|
36
|
37
|
35
|
30
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28
|
23
|
19
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17
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17
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15
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15
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13
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
83%
|
79%
|
81%
|
83%
|
82%
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82%
|
84%
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85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
50%
|
70%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
70%
|
60%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
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8°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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9°
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9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
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3°
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4°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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5°
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6°
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7°
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8°
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8°
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8°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
7
|
SSW
6
|
S
5
|
S
6
|
SSE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
9
|
SE
12
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
24
|
SE
27
|
SE
30
|
SE
31
|
SE
30
|
SSE
28
|
SSE
27
|
SSE
27
|
SSE
27
|
SSE
25
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
15
|
21
|
24
|
30
|
33
|
39
|
45
|
46
|
46
|
42
|
43
|
35
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
91%
|
92%
|
91%
|
86%
|
85%
|
83%
|
79%
|
83%
|
79%
|
85%
|
89%
|
88%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
89%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
30%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
20%
|
40%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
50%
|
40%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
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6°
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6°
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6°
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7°
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7°
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8°
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7°
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7°
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7°
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7°
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7°
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6°
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6°
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6°
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6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
24
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
25
|
S
25
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S
26
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S
25
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S
25
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
23
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SSE
22
|
SSE
22
|
SSE
22
|
S
22
|
S
22
|
S
21
|
S
21
|
S
22
|
S
24
|
S
25
|
S
26
|
S
25
|
SSW
23
|
SSW
23
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
33
|
33
|
35
|
33
|
36
|
34
|
33
|
30
|
33
|
30
|
33
|
33
|
30
|
26
|
24
|
24
|
22
|
24
|
26
|
30
|
28
|
26
|
24
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
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E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
85%
|
84%
|
82%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
82%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
20%
|
20%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
21
|
SSW
20
|
SSW
18
|
SSW
16
|
SSW
14
|
SSW
13
|
SW
14
|
SW
15
|
SW
17
|
SW
20
|
SW
23
|
SW
23
|
SW
22
|
SW
21
|
SW
21
|
SW
23
|
SW
23
|
SSW
22
|
SSW
22
|
SSW
22
|
SW
21
|
SW
19
|
SW
19
|
SSW
20
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
24
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
22
|
26
|
33
|
35
|
37
|
39
|
37
|
30
|
28
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
24
|
22
|
24
|
26
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
86%
|
83%
|
82%
|
77%
|
78%
|
74%
|
75%
|
77%
|
78%
|
84%
|
83%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
40%
|
60%
|
80%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
17
|
SW
16
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
15
|
SW
15
|
SW
15
|
SW
15
|
SW
15
|
SW
14
|
SSW
13
|
SSW
13
|
S
13
|
S
14
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
16
|
SE
15
|
SSE
18
|
SSE
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
22
|
19
|
17
|
22
|
22
|
17
|
19
|
24
|
26
|
26
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
84%
|
82%
|
82%
|
81%
|
83%
|
85%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
16
|
SW
15
|
SW
17
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
18
|
SW
17
|
SW
14
|
SSW
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
22
|
24
|
28
|
31
|
30
|
27
|
23
|
22
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
89%
|
86%
|
85%
|
90%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
14
|
SSW
13
|
S
12
|
SSW
12
|
SSW
14
|
SW
12
|
SW
10
|
SW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
21
|
19
|
20
|
22
|
19
|
15
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
91%
|
93%
|
92%
|
91%
|
86%
|
88%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Lough Neagh weather map
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Rather cloudy with showers, brighter later
Some early sunshine in east but cloudier conditions with showers in northwest spreading southeast, the showers perhaps merging into a longer spell of rain around midday. Becoming brighter this afternoon with fewer showers. Occasionally strong southwesterly winds easing. Maximum temperature 11 °C.
Any remaining showers soon dying out this evening to leave a dry night with long clear spells developing. With mainly light winds a fairly widespread frost is expected to develop. Minimum temperature -1 °C.
Bright start but cloud increasing with occasionally heavy rain spreading northeast through the morning, rain continuing through the afternoon and evening. Strengthening southeasterly winds with coastal gales, perhaps severe, later. Maximum temperature 13 °C.
Remaining unsettled with showers or longer spells of occasionally heavy rain through Friday and the weekend. Windy at times, with coastal gales on Friday morning and later Sunday.
Updated:
The changeable and at times unsettled weather is likely to continue through early November, with low pressure dominating the UK. This means further showers or longer spells of rain at times. All parts could see some heavy rain, but it is likely that western areas will be wettest. Strong winds are likely from time to time, with gales or severe gales a possibility. Equally there should also be some, at least brief, drier or clearer interludes, these more prevalent further east, but perhaps becoming a little more widespread and long-lasting by the end of the period. With winds predominantly blowing from a westerly or southwesterly quadrant, above average temperatures are most likely, with a reduced incidence of overnight frost and fog, compared to normal, especially at first.
Updated:
A gradual transition from an unsettled westerly type to something less unsettled is anticipated through the middle part of the month. With time, greater incidences of high pressure look set to affect the UK, bringing more in the way of dry weather, but also increasing the chances of overnight fog and frost. By later in the month, the majority of any wet and windy weather is more likely to affect areas further to the north. Overall, temperatures look to pan out near to a little above average.
Updated: