Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
18°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
7
|
E
7
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
3
|
ENE
2
|
NNE
2
|
N
4
|
N
4
|
NNE
5
|
NNE
5
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
13
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
81%
|
79%
|
80%
|
82%
|
85%
|
86%
|
83%
|
78%
|
75%
|
71%
|
64%
|
56%
|
52%
|
42%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
41%
|
48%
|
55%
|
56%
|
62%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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06:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
7°
|
8°
|
11°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
7
|
NE
6
|
NE
5
|
ENE
5
|
E
5
|
SSE
3
|
WSW
3
|
W
3
|
NW
2
|
NNW
2
|
NW
2
|
NW
2
|
NW
2
|
NNW
2
|
NNW
2
|
NNW
2
|
N
3
|
N
4
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
NNE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
6
|
7
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
71%
|
74%
|
80%
|
79%
|
80%
|
81%
|
79%
|
66%
|
59%
|
58%
|
55%
|
53%
|
47%
|
44%
|
44%
|
43%
|
45%
|
45%
|
47%
|
53%
|
61%
|
66%
|
69%
|
75%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
21°
|
19°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
20°
|
18°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNE
6
|
NE
6
|
NE
5
|
ENE
5
|
ENE
5
|
ENE
4
|
ENE
3
|
E
3
|
ENE
2
|
ENE
2
|
NE
2
|
NNE
2
|
N
3
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
4
|
NW
5
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
7
|
NW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
12
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
19
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
84%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
79%
|
75%
|
74%
|
68%
|
64%
|
58%
|
55%
|
52%
|
48%
|
47%
|
49%
|
53%
|
57%
|
65%
|
73%
|
78%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
15°
|
14°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
17°
|
17°
|
14°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
7
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
7
|
N
8
|
N
7
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
14
|
16
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
18
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
86%
|
87%
|
89%
|
91%
|
92%
|
91%
|
87%
|
85%
|
81%
|
75%
|
71%
|
64%
|
61%
|
56%
|
54%
|
53%
|
53%
|
54%
|
56%
|
63%
|
72%
|
80%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
12°
|
15°
|
19°
|
22°
|
20°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
12°
|
15°
|
19°
|
21°
|
19°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
5
|
NNW
7
|
NW
3
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
11
|
9
|
11
|
13
|
13
|
17
|
17
|
8
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
89%
|
93%
|
88%
|
73%
|
54%
|
43%
|
48%
|
77%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
7°
|
10°
|
16°
|
20°
|
22°
|
19°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
9°
|
7°
|
10°
|
15°
|
19°
|
20°
|
18°
|
11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
2
|
W
2
|
W
2
|
NW
5
|
WNW
5
|
WNW
7
|
NW
8
|
WNW
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
5
|
5
|
9
|
18
|
21
|
21
|
18
|
8
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
VP
|
VP
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
97%
|
90%
|
67%
|
51%
|
43%
|
52%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
9°
|
12°
|
16°
|
19°
|
20°
|
18°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
11°
|
15°
|
18°
|
18°
|
16°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
4
|
W
5
|
W
5
|
WNW
6
|
WNW
7
|
W
7
|
W
9
|
W
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
6
|
7
|
17
|
23
|
25
|
25
|
22
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
VP
|
P
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
96%
|
90%
|
66%
|
51%
|
47%
|
60%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
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Sunny spells and very warm today.
Partly cloudy this morning with some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken across parts of south Wales, perhaps bringing a few showers this afternoon. Very warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
Cloud will gradually fade to give a fine end to the day with some late sunshine. Staying dry overnight with clear skies and light winds. Minimum temperature 13 °C.
Blue skies at first, before cloud builds a little into the afternoon. Low cloud may linger around some coasts in the north. Warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
Largely dry over the next few days with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. A few showers are possible on Wednesday. Very warm in the sunshine.
Updated:
For much of the UK, dry at first with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Towards the weekend and perhaps into the start of next week, perhaps a more unsettled period with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could be light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we head into next week, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: