Trawsgoed (Ceredigion) weather

Headline:

Rain and heavy showers. Breezy and milder.

Today:

A cloudy start with rain, heavy at times over the hills clearing eastwards through the morning. Blustery showers, merging into longer spells of rain following on behind. These heavy with the risk of hail and thunder. Milder than of late. Maximum temperature 12 °C.

Tonight:

Heavy showers easing this evening then turning cloudier into the night with outbreaks of rain, this mainly clearing by dawn. Breezy but mild. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Saturday:

Cloudy with patchy drizzle through the morning and occasional brighter interludes. More rain, heavy at times, arriving into the afternoon. Breezy and very mild. Maximum temperature 13 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Remaining changeable and often unsettled with spells of rain and showers. Drier interludes are likely but often cloudy. Very mild with strong winds at times.

Broadly changeable during this period with Atlantic frontal systems moving across the country and shorter dry and bright interludes in-between. Rain and showers typically heaviest and most frequent in the west, with more sheltered eastern areas seeing much smaller amounts of rain. Often windy with a chance of gales at times. Temperatures well above average at first, likely falling closer to average towards the end of February and into March, perhaps briefly cold enough for some wintry showers or even snow in upland areas of the north. A very small chance of more settled weather by the end of the period.

Confidence remains low through this period. The most likely outcome is a continuation of rather changeable conditions, with low pressure systems tending to pass close to or across the UK, bringing occasional spells of wet and windy weather, especially in the north and west. High pressure to the south may build across the UK at times to bring some drier, quieter interludes, this probably most frequent in the south and east - the chances of prolonged settled weather look very low. Temperatures are likely to be near or slightly above average for the period as a whole, though some relatively short-lived interludes of colder conditions remain possible.