Caldicot (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

Cooler, fresher and mostly dry.

Today:

A cooler and fresher start to Monday morning for all of us. A dry day will follow with some fair weather cloud and sunny spells throughout. Mostly light winds and feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Light winds and sunny spells to end the day. However, cloud will increase from the west overnight, with a little light rain possible on western hills. A slightly milder night. Minimum temperature 12 °C.

Tuesday:

Rather cloudy to start the day, the cloud then tending to break up a little allowing frequent showers to develop, some heavy with thunder possible towards the north. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

A mostly dry, settled spell of weather with bright or sunny spells. A spell of rain likely into Thursday. Temperatures near average, but slowly edging up.

Some rain is possible across Scotland on Friday, easing as it spreads south and east before clearing away. High pressure will dominate across England and Wales over the weekend, bringing dry and warm conditions with plenty of sunshine for most. Scotland and Northern Ireland will probably see more cloud this weekend, with periods of rain mainly affecting western Scotland at times. Into the following working week, high pressure remains slow moving over England and Wales, perhaps extending northwards to bring drier and warmer weather to Scotland and Northern Ireland. Winds will be light to moderate for most, though stronger around northern hills and coasts near low pressure systems. Temperatures will rise through the period, perhaps becoming very warm or hot in places.

High pressure is more likely than low pressure at the start of this period, bringing a greater chance of settled and drier conditions. Occasionally this dry and warm weather could be interrupted by outbreaks of rain with stronger winds, this most likely further north if this occurs. As is typical for the time of year, there remains a risk of heavy, thundery showers during any warm spells. Towards the end of July there is a slight preference for a continuation of high pressure to dominate, however confidence at this range is naturally low. In any case, temperatures are likely to be above average overall, with a greater than normal chance of hot conditions developing at times.