Church Enstone (Oxfordshire) weather

Headline:

Mostly dry and cloudy Monday, but becoming increasingly cold.

Today:

Generally dry but dull at first, with some brighter spells likely in the south. Cloud breaking up through the afternoon to give sunny spells quite widely. Mostly light winds away from the coast. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Tonight:

A few showers possible along the coast. However, mostly dry conditions expected inland with clear skies allowing temperatures to drop and frost to develop. Minimum temperature -1 °C.

Tuesday:

A dry day with light winds and good spells of sunshine. There may be the odd shower along the coast. Cold overnight with clear skies developing and widespread frost expected. Maximum temperature 7 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Dry with variable cloud for Wednesday. Showers possible Thursday afternoon, which may turn wintry. Mostly dry on Friday. Turning very cold.

Cold northerly winds, initially across Scotland are now expected to become dominant across the whole UK in the first week of January. These will bring wintry showers (often of snow) to many coastlines (and areas just inland of these) that are exposed to onshore winds. Subtle day-to-day changes in wind direction from northeast to northwest will change the places most exposed to the showers, but many inland locations across central and southern areas will remain mostly dry but cold. There are likely to be some more coherent bands of rain, sleet and snow working south, and these may bring a risk of more prolonged wintry precipitation affecting some inland areas. Towards the second half of this period, slightly milder conditions will attempt to move in from the west.

Whilst confidence in details is low, by the start of this period the transition back to westerly winds bringing Atlantic weather systems into the UK is expected to be complete, with temperatures most likely recovering to around average. There is perhaps a weak signal for slowly evolving weather patterns to be more favoured than normal, such patterns increase the chances of frost and fog above normal by night.