South Newington (Oxfordshire) weather

Headline:

Turning fresher into the weekend but mostly dry.

Today:

Another largely sunny and dry day for most, although just a low risk of isolated thundery showers developing later in the day. Still feeling hot with mainly light winds. Maximum temperature 34 °C.

Tonight:

Mostly dry with variable cloud and clear spells, although still the chance of isolated thundery showers. Feeling warm and rather muggy for most, especially in urban areas. Winds mainly light. Minimum temperature 17 °C.

Saturday:

Variable cloud and isolated thundery showers possible at first but becoming generally dry with sunny spells. Fresher later in north, still hot in the south. A gentle breeze. Maximum temperature 31 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Sunday and Monday, largely dry with bright or sunny spells. Mainly light winds. Cloudier and breezier Tuesday. Temperatures nearer average.

The first few days of this period are likely to be rather changeable, with many parts of the UK seeing showers or perhaps some longer spells of rain. Within this broad pattern, there is potential for a low pressure system to develop just to the west or possibly over the UK, which would bring the possibility more widespread rain and perhaps strong winds. By the latter part of August, there are signals for high pressure to become rather more dominant again, with more in the way of dry weather developing once more, especially towards parts of the north and west. Temperatures are more likely to be above normal than below overall, though the possibility of widespread or exceptional heat is perhaps a little lower than in recent weeks.

As we move into the start of meteorological autumn, signals for the prevailing weather patterns affecting the UK are weak, thus something close to the climatological norm is the current preferred story. This means a broad northwest-southeast split in conditions, with the high becoming centred further to the south than in the latter part of August and with more changeable conditions developing towards the north and northwest. Meanwhile, drier, more settled weather is slightly more likely towards the south and east. Temperatures are again likely to be above average overall, with the potential for late season hot spells or heatwaves, especially in the south.