Banbury (Oxfordshire) weather

Headline:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain.

This Evening and Tonight:

Cloudy at first, with some outbreaks of rain or showers in the west. This spreading eastwards through the evening Becoming cloudy through the evening with some light rain possible overnight. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Sunday:

Dry at first, though there may be showers in Kent or the far west. Rain moving in during the morning, perhaps heavy at times. Mist and hill fog developing overnight. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain on Monday, becoming breezy later on. Windy with spells of rain for Tuesday, winds easing overnight. Further rain on Wednesday, with strong winds developing.

Frontal systems over the Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.