Chapelfell Top (Durham) weather

Headline:

Generally dry but patchy rain spreading in later

Today:

A fine and dry start, with some early sunshine. A band of patchy rain and low cloud will move in from the south early afternoon, heavy at times in the west, but keeping mostly dry in the east. Strong winds. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Plenty of low cloud through the evening, with further outbreaks of rain, again turning heavy at times and continuing overnight. Windy. Minimum temperature 15 °C.

Friday:

Unsettled with heavy showers and some longer spells of rain, particularly in the west. The blustery winds will begin to ease later on. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Changeable for Saturday and Sunday with a mixture of strong winds, outbreaks of rain, and low cloud lingering. Low cloud lifting on Monday to leave a mainly dry day.

Into next week, a northwest-southeast split is most likely. The best of drier spells will be in the north and northwest where some fog and frost patches are possible, but there will be spells or rain or showers in south and eastern areas, near to an area of low pressure. It will also turn colder, as a northerly flow becomes established for a time. Later in the week, more widely drier and settled conditions could develop as high pressure becomes more influential, although probably still with some coastal showers. Temperatures should gradually return closer to average in this period. Later in the period there may be a return to a more changeable pattern but this is uncertain.

By the beginning of October, confidence is very low in the weather regimes most likely to affect the UK. On balance, there will likely be a transition from slow-moving weather patterns to a more changeable period at some stage although the timing on this is highly uncertain. High pressure probably close to the UK, which would offer some occasional periods of dry weather, will likely give way to a more unsettled period with some short lived dry interludes during this time. Temperatures will likely fluctuate either side of, but often close to, average.