Durham I.C.G. (Durham) weather

Headline:

A mostly dry evening with rain arriving Thursday afternoon. Breezy.

This Evening and Tonight:

Some evening sunshine for many, although perhaps staying rather cloudy with the odd light shower in the west. Staying breezy overnight, especially over across the Pennines and Cheviots Minimum temperature 6 °C.

Thursday:

A bright start to the day in the east, becoming increasingly cloudy through the morning with rain arriving from the west during the afternoon. Strong, gusty winds. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Unsettled and cloudy with blustery showers and longer spells of rain possible throughout the period, becoming heavy at times. Turning colder on Sunday.

Into next week, a northwest-southeast split is most likely. The best of drier spells will be in the north and northwest where some fog and frost patches are possible, but there will be spells or rain or showers in south and eastern areas, near to an area of low pressure. It will also turn colder, as a northerly flow becomes established for a time. Later in the week, more widely drier and settled conditions could develop as high pressure becomes more influential, although probably still with some coastal showers. Temperatures should gradually return closer to average in this period. Later in the period there may be a return to a more changeable pattern but this is uncertain.

By the beginning of October, confidence is very low in the weather regimes most likely to affect the UK. On balance, there will likely be a transition from slow-moving weather patterns to a more changeable period at some stage although the timing on this is highly uncertain. High pressure probably close to the UK, which would offer some occasional periods of dry weather, will likely give way to a more unsettled period with some short lived dry interludes during this time. Temperatures will likely fluctuate either side of, but often close to, average.