Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
15
|
NNE
15
|
NNE
15
|
NNE
13
|
NNE
11
|
NE
9
|
ENE
7
|
ENE
6
|
E
4
|
E
4
|
SE
4
|
S
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
26
|
26
|
24
|
21
|
19
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
58%
|
56%
|
55%
|
55%
|
55%
|
56%
|
62%
|
64%
|
65%
|
70%
|
74%
|
75%
|
| UV | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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06:00
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10:00
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11:00
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13:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
4
|
S
4
|
SSW
3
|
WSW
4
|
NW
4
|
NW
4
|
NW
4
|
NW
4
|
NNW
5
|
N
7
|
N
9
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
11
|
NNE
11
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
8
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
5
|
N
4
|
NNW
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
12
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
79%
|
80%
|
81%
|
80%
|
81%
|
76%
|
72%
|
69%
|
69%
|
71%
|
73%
|
73%
|
71%
|
74%
|
73%
|
73%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
76%
|
82%
|
86%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
16°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
4
|
WNW
3
|
WNW
3
|
WNW
3
|
WNW
3
|
W
3
|
W
3
|
WSW
3
|
SW
3
|
SSE
4
|
SE
5
|
SE
7
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
9
|
E
9
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
SE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
6
|
SSE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
8
|
7
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
78%
|
75%
|
72%
|
67%
|
66%
|
66%
|
66%
|
67%
|
67%
|
69%
|
72%
|
73%
|
74%
|
75%
|
78%
|
84%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
7
|
W
6
|
WNW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NNW
8
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
NNE
9
|
NE
9
|
NE
8
|
NE
8
|
NE
8
|
NE
7
|
ENE
7
|
NE
7
|
NE
7
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
N
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
15
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
18
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
83%
|
82%
|
85%
|
87%
|
86%
|
84%
|
79%
|
76%
|
73%
|
67%
|
65%
|
68%
|
65%
|
65%
|
66%
|
65%
|
66%
|
68%
|
69%
|
72%
|
75%
|
79%
|
84%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
5
|
NNW
4
|
NNW
4
|
NW
4
|
WNW
4
|
WNW
4
|
W
4
|
W
4
|
W
4
|
WNW
4
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
7
|
SE
8
|
SE
9
|
SSE
9
|
SE
9
|
SSE
10
|
S
10
|
SSW
9
|
SW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
8
|
W
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
85%
|
83%
|
77%
|
75%
|
72%
|
68%
|
68%
|
66%
|
64%
|
61%
|
62%
|
64%
|
64%
|
64%
|
65%
|
68%
|
69%
|
74%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
15°
|
18°
|
21°
|
22°
|
21°
|
18°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
16°
|
19°
|
20°
|
18°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
10
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
WSW
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
17
|
18
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
21
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
76%
|
77%
|
84%
|
79%
|
66%
|
56%
|
53%
|
56%
|
67%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
11
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
11
|
WSW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
18
|
18
|
20
|
22
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
76%
|
83%
|
82%
|
68%
|
57%
|
57%
|
59%
|
73%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
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Dry and sunny. A cooler night for many.
Dry with patchy cloud, especially through the morning, but also sunny spells which will become prolonged later. Highest temperatures inland, breezy and rather cool along the coast. Maximum temperature 21 °C.
Dry and settled, cloud spreading southwards across the whole of the region by the morning. Winds becoming light and variable. Feeling cooler overnight. Minimum temperature 12 °C.
Largely dry and cloudy, but also some bright spells will occur, mainly in the afternoon before skies clear overnight. Winds remain light and variable. Maximum temperature 20 °C.
Predominantly dry on Tuesday, but with a chance of a little light rain Wednesday. Dry with sunny spells on Thursday. Temperatures generally average or slightly above.
Updated:
For much of the UK, dry at first with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Towards the weekend and perhaps into the start of next week, perhaps a more unsettled period with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could be light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we head into next week, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: