2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
32
|
SSE
35
|
SSE
36
|
SSE
37
|
SSE
34
|
SSE
32
|
S
28
|
SW
26
|
WSW
27
|
WSW
32
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
39
|
40
|
40
|
40
|
38
|
35
|
31
|
30
|
35
|
41
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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20:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
40%
|
30%
|
50%
|
70%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-12°
|
-13°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-11°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
37
|
SW
38
|
SW
39
|
SW
39
|
SSW
40
|
SSW
41
|
SW
41
|
SW
42
|
SW
38
|
SW
38
|
SW
39
|
WSW
39
|
WSW
41
|
WSW
42
|
WSW
47
|
WSW
49
|
W
49
|
W
47
|
W
44
|
WSW
41
|
WSW
36
|
WSW
32
|
SW
28
|
SW
26
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
42
|
43
|
43
|
44
|
45
|
46
|
47
|
46
|
46
|
45
|
45
|
46
|
46
|
52
|
54
|
54
|
53
|
52
|
49
|
45
|
40
|
35
|
31
|
29
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
98%
|
98%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
99%
|
100%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
25
|
SW
24
|
SSW
21
|
SSW
20
|
SSW
20
|
S
20
|
S
20
|
SSE
21
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
26
|
SSE
30
|
SSE
32
|
SSE
33
|
SSE
32
|
SSE
35
|
SSE
35
|
SSE
36
|
SSE
36
|
SE
35
|
SE
35
|
SE
34
|
SE
33
|
SE
32
|
SE
32
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
26
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
24
|
26
|
29
|
33
|
35
|
36
|
36
|
39
|
39
|
39
|
39
|
39
|
38
|
38
|
38
|
36
|
35
|
35
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
32
|
SE
31
|
SE
27
|
SE
27
|
SE
27
|
SE
26
|
SE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
28
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
30
|
ESE
30
|
ESE
30
|
E
30
|
E
30
|
E
30
|
E
30
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
35
|
34
|
30
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
33
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
29
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
29
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
31
|
ESE
30
|
ESE
28
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
28
|
ESE
26
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
32
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
32
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
31
|
29
|
31
|
31
|
29
|
27
|
26
|
26
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
22
|
ESE
20
|
ESE
17
|
ESE
13
|
ESE
11
|
E
13
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
22
|
19
|
14
|
30
|
14
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
G
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
91%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
9
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
11
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
94%
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94%
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96%
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91%
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93%
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96%
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96%
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| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
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Mainly dry today, rain in the south and east later.
Any showers across the west dying out this morning, otherwise dry and bright. This afternoon will mainly dry but some rain developing across the south and east later on. Freshening southerly wind along the east coast this afternoon. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Rain will spread east for a time this evening. Then becoming drier and clearer overnight with the chance of a few showers in the west. Fresh southwesterly winds, Minimum temperature 4 °C.
Some bright or sunny intervals and a few showers, these mainly across the west. Drier along the east coast. Windy with fresh to strong southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Cloudy and breezy on Saturday with patchy rain. Cloudy on Sunday and Monday with rain at times.
Updated:
Unsettled conditions are likely to continue at first, with low pressure probably centred somewhere to the southwest of the UK, whilst high pressure becomes established to the northeast. This means a broadly easterly flow will become increasingly dominant through next week, whilst periods of rain or showers become increasingly confined to southern or southwestern parts. With time, high pressure is signaled to become more dominant with more in the way of dry, settled weather anticipated though there could be some isolated showers to eastern parts, that could perhaps be wintry at times. Temperatures will lower compared to recent weeks, closer to or perhaps a little below average for many. Overnight frost and fog or freezing fog could become more prevalent, though any particularly cold conditions look unlikely at this stage.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: