North Top (Aberdeenshire) weather

Headline:

Cloudy with occasional rain, turning drier this afternoon.

Today:

A cloudy day with spells of rain, although it will turn somewhat drier during the afternoon. Drier with the chance of some brightness across western Moray. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Tonight:

This evening will be cloudy with scattered showers. Then it will remain cloudy overnight with scattered showers overnight. Drier across western Moray. Light southeasterly winds. Minimum temperature 4 °C.

Monday:

A cloudy day with showers or longer spells of rain. Fresh to strong southeasterly winds across the east. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Cold and cloudy on Tuesday and Wednesday with showers or longer spells of rain, sleet and snow. Fewer showers on Thursday.

Frontal systems over the Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.