Tomintoul (Moray) weather

Headline:

Dry with bright spells.

Today:

After a cold and cloudy start it will be a dry day with variable amounts of cloud and some bright or sunny spells. Light winds. Maximum temperature 7 °C.

Tonight:

Staying largely dry through the evening and overnight with some clear spells at times, allowing a frost to form. Chance of the odd shower in the west towards morning. Minimum temperature -1 °C.

Tuesday:

Staying dry with bright or sunny spells for most places through the day, though likely cloudier in the west. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Mostly dry on Wednesday with some sunny spells, chance of the odd shower. Mostly dry on Thursday, patchy rain for a time. Rain for a time Friday and strengthening winds.

The change to much more unsettled conditions will begin on Friday as a deep area of low pressure, which is yet to develop, will be steered towards the UK on a powerful Jet Stream - fuelled by the recent cold spell over North America. A wet and windy few days are likely, with some snow in the north for a time, and then a continuation of these periods of rain followed by showers, often accompanied by strong winds, looks likely for the rest of the month and the start of February. There is the potential for weather warnings or even a named storm at some point. Temperatures at least should recover in most places, ending up a little above average, though admittedly not feeling like it at times.

The start of February is likely to continue on an unsettled and relatively mild theme, with periods of rain, showers and strong winds, alternating in most parts with short-lived brighter and cooler interludes. Pressure may build across southern areas towards mid-month, which would result in longer drier and more-settled spells here, albeit with an increased chance of overnight fog and frost.