An early look at the winter statistics: just how wet has it been?
This winter has felt, for many, like a season stuck on repeat.
Read moreThis winter has felt, for many, like a season stuck on repeat.
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Overnight rain clearing in the morning, otherwise dry on Monday.
Patchy rain during the evening will become more widespread from the late evening. Orkney will see the best of any dry spells towards the morning. Windy. Minimum temperature 5 °C.
Overnight rain soon clearing through the morning. Then it will be a dry day with some spells of sunshine. Strong southeasterly winds across Shetland at first. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Early showers clear Shetland Tuesday morning leaving the Isles dry with sunny spells until early Thursday. Outbreaks of rain spread east over the Isles from Thursday afternoon.
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High pressure looks to hold the greatest influence for much of this period, especially towards the south or southeast of the UK. This means that many places will see plenty of dry weather with variable cloud amounts and some sunshine. The best of the sunny weather is most likely towards the south or southeast. Some overnight fog is possible given clear skies and light winds. However, frontal systems are still likely to affect the north and west of the UK at times, perhaps pushing further east on occasion, bringing some rain and strong winds, and perhaps some hill snow across high ground in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, although a few patchy overnight frosts are still likely.
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The slow moving pattern will probably continue through mid-March. Spells of rain are still possible across the west and northwest, with drier and brighter weather further east and southeast. Lower confidence by late-March, however the blocked and slow-moving weather pattern may very well persist. However the main uncertainty is whether this will lead to cyclonic and unsettled weather becoming slow moving and persistent across the UK; or continued anticyclonic pattern, which would mean more settled and perhaps colder patterns in the vicinity of the UK. In general, some rain still probable but distribution of any wetter areas is extremely low confidence. Temperatures overall near or above average, perhaps with a slightly increasing chance this may trend colder towards the end of the month.
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