Why probability is the key to future weather forecasts
Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.
Read more| Time |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||
| Chance of precipitation |
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
4
|
NNW
4
|
NW
3
|
W
3
|
S
3
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
6
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
96%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
3
|
SE
3
|
SE
4
|
SE
5
|
SE
5
|
SE
5
|
SE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
7
|
SE
8
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
11
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
15
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
6
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
16
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
25
|
26
|
28
|
27
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
99%
|
98%
|
99%
|
97%
|
93%
|
90%
|
85%
|
82%
|
77%
|
82%
|
85%
|
88%
|
91%
|
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
70%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
14
|
ESE
14
|
ESE
13
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
27
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
26
|
26
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
86%
|
88%
|
91%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
70%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
9
|
E
9
|
E
8
|
E
7
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SSE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
94%
|
93%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SE
7
|
SSE
8
|
SE
8
|
SSE
8
|
SSE
9
|
SSE
9
|
SSE
10
|
SSE
10
|
SSE
10
|
SSE
9
|
SE
9
|
SE
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
95%
|
96%
|
95%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
93%
|
91%
|
89%
|
89%
|
86%
|
84%
|
85%
|
86%
|
89%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
8°
|
9°
|
7°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
6
|
SSE
7
|
S
8
|
SSE
8
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
12
|
13
|
16
|
17
|
16
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
87%
|
84%
|
89%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
7
|
E
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
16
|
18
|
19
|
17
|
14
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
93%
|
87%
|
83%
|
90%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Brentwood Leisure Park weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
Overnight rain clearing. Drier and eventually brighter Wednesday.
Wet into the evening, with some heavier spells of rain. This rain will edge northwards later in the night, leaving drier and clearer spells in its wake. Temperatures dipping to perhaps allow local rural frost in prone spots by dawn. Minimum temperature 1 °C.
Mainly dry, with any remaining rain and low cloud gradually dispersing to leave a mainly fine afternoon with some sunny intervals. Feeling cooler in exposure to the easterly wind. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
Further periods of rain making gradual and erratic progress northwards in this period. Temperatures near normal, with overnight frosts limited by the breeze and unsettled conditions.
Updated:
Cyclonic patterns are expected to dominate across the UK during mid-February. Frontal systems over the Atlantic are likely to approach the UK at times, tending to become slow moving as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the northeast. This will result in showers or longer spells of rain spreading across the UK, these heavy at times. Rainfall amounts will probably be highest in parts of the west, including across areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, snow is possible across northern England and Scotland, mainly over high ground. Strong winds could develop in places, especially coasts. Temperatures will probably be close to normal overall, with any cold conditions more likely in the north.
Updated:
Changeable conditions are expected across the UK during this period. Low pressure systems will probably dominate, meaning showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, for much of the UK and some hill snow in the north. Periods of strong wind are also possible, especially around coasts. Temperatures will likely be close to average or slightly above overall.
Updated: