Space weather impacts
Low level space weather events occur on a regular basis. So, what impacts can they have on our daily lives?
Thankfully, severe space weather events are rare but when they do occur the impacts to our national infrastructure are extremely significant. For this reason, the Government has listed severe space weather as one of the highest priority natural hazards in the UK National Risk Register.
Main impacts at a glance
The major impacts of a severe space weather event can be divided into two areas - impacts on technology on Earth and threats to equipment and health in space and at high altitude. They include:
- Power grid outages
- Disruption to Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) / Global Positioning Satellites (GPS)
- High Frequency (HF) radio communications outages
- Satellite damage
- Increased radiation levels at high altitude
Why are we concerned now?
Space weather events have always occurred, but our modern reliance on technology driven systems makes us more susceptible to the impacts.
Different systems are exposed to varying levels of risk depending on technical design, location and the type of space weather that can affect them. Our challenge is to ensure new systems are designed with appropriate engineering solutions to minimize the risk posed by space weather.
Industries /infrastructures most at risk from severe space weather
- Energy
- Satellite
- Communications
- Aviation
- Marine
- Road transport
- Rail transport
Whilst certain impacts (such as degradation of GNSS / GPS) could affect us all, there are specific industries that are more exposed to the threat of space weather. We have been working closely with these industries to identify the threat, the extent of the impacts and to understand how forecasts can help them mitigate the risk.
We provide sector specific forecasts for authorities and organisations that prepare for and respond to risks such as space weather. Access to this service can be requested - Register for space weather
Industry impacts - summary information
| Industry | Impact | How forecasting can help |
|---|---|---|
| Energy |
Power blackouts |
Energy companies can use space weather services to help minimise the impact of geomagnetic storms, improve the design and modelling of future, more resilient, systems and increased monitoring of impacted systems. |
| Satellite | Damage to satellites Impacts on performance |
Satellite operators can use space weather forecasts to advise of potential degradation or failures in the services they provide. |
| Communications | Loss of long distance radio communication |
Advance notice of heightened solar activity can help flag the risk of blackouts. |
| Aviation |
Disruption to HF comms and high latitude routes |
Advance notice of space weather events is critical to rerouting of high latitude flights, and to alert aircraft in flight of possible loss of communications. |
| Marine | Disruption to critical navigation systems | Mariners can benefit from space weather forecasts to advise of potential degradation or failures in the GNSS service. |
| Road transport | Disruption of GNSS | Space weather forecasts help road users understand when Sat Navs may be unreliable. |
| Rail transport | Disruption of GNSS |
Space weather forecasts help rail network operators understand when rail systems may be at risk. |
Measuring the impact
Different aspects of space weather have a variety of impacts on mankind and the technology we use.
The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (MOSWOC) uses numbered scales developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These scales are similar to those used to describe hurricanes or earthquakes and are used world-wide to classify space weather conditions and communicate the impact on people and systems.
We have developed a UK-specific impact scale to use in forecasts, alerts and warnings based on the 2013 Royal Academy of Engineering report on the impacts of extreme space weather on engineered systems and infrastructures specific to the UK.
The NOAA scales describe the level of disturbance and possible impacts for three types of space weather:
- radio blackouts (R scale)
- geomagnetic storms (G scale)
- solar radiation storms (S scale)
The level of impact depends on the technological systems in use. This varies widely across the globe. For example the UK power grid has much shorter and more highly connected transmission lines than those in North America so it is less susceptible to space weather.
Radio blackouts
The ionosphere is a dynamic part of the upper atmosphere which acts as a reflector for long range, high frequency communications (HF comms). During a solar flare the increase in radiation from the Sun causes the ionosphere to absorb rather than reflect signals, disrupting communications systems on the sun-lit side of the Earth. The Sun may also emit radio bursts at multiple wavelengths causing various problems for communication and navigation systems. Even during periods of quiet solar activity, turbulence in the ionosphere can result in a scattering of electromagnetic waves disrupting navigation systems like Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) or Global Positioning System (GPS) and radio bands up to the GHz frequencies. These are referred to as radio blackouts.
Geomagnetic storms
Geomagnetic storms are large disturbances in the Earth's magnetic field caused by changes in the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) structure. These changes in the solar wind arise from disturbances on the sun, such as in powerful coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Their effect can be felt for a number of days. With the right magnetic configuration, and increases in solar wind speed and density, large amounts of energy can be transferred into the Earth's geomagnetic system. The effect of geomagnetic storms can result in impacts to power systems, spacecraft operations and other communications systems such as GNSS/GPS or HF comms.
Solar radiation storms
In association with large solar flares, solar radiation storms may also occur. These storms, consisting of very high energy protons, primarily impact polar regions. This is called polar cap absorption and their main affect is to degrade HF comms in these regions.
In space astronauts and satellites can be exposed to increased levels of radiation. Whilst extra-vehicular activity (space walks) can be avoided during a solar storm, satellites could be exposed to excessive and damaging radiation levels. For instance, solar panels can be degraded reducing the life expectancy of the satellite, surface charging can damage the electronics and radiation can result in errors within computer systems.
Although the atmosphere provides a significant level of protection charging and radiation from space weather events have been shown to occasionally impact ground based systems as well. Similarly aircraft, crews and passengers on high latitude polar routes may on very rare occasions, be exposed to elevated radiation levels.
