Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
24°
|
24°
|
24°
|
24°
|
23°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
7
|
N
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
N
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
91%
|
93%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
93%
|
85%
|
76%
|
69%
|
62%
|
55%
|
52%
|
51%
|
53%
|
56%
|
61%
|
63%
|
66%
|
71%
|
82%
|
88%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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15:00
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16:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
8
|
N
9
|
N
10
|
N
11
|
N
13
|
N
13
|
N
13
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
13
|
N
11
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
85%
|
76%
|
72%
|
65%
|
64%
|
61%
|
59%
|
58%
|
59%
|
62%
|
64%
|
65%
|
68%
|
73%
|
79%
|
85%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
14°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
8
|
N
8
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
N
9
|
N
7
|
N
6
|
NNW
5
|
N
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
91%
|
92%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
92%
|
83%
|
76%
|
70%
|
65%
|
63%
|
61%
|
59%
|
59%
|
59%
|
62%
|
65%
|
68%
|
74%
|
84%
|
91%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
22°
|
23°
|
24°
|
24°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
21°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
4
|
N
5
|
N
6
|
NNE
6
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
8
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
13
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
92%
|
83%
|
73%
|
64%
|
59%
|
56%
|
54%
|
54%
|
55%
|
57%
|
61%
|
65%
|
68%
|
74%
|
81%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
40%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
11
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
16
|
W
16
|
W
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
17
|
17
|
20
|
23
|
27
|
27
|
24
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
85%
|
68%
|
63%
|
65%
|
73%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
16
|
WNW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
19
|
25
|
29
|
30
|
30
|
26
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
94%
|
93%
|
83%
|
68%
|
65%
|
72%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
14
|
W
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
17
|
23
|
25
|
27
|
26
|
23
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
85%
|
68%
|
63%
|
64%
|
70%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
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Dry with variable amounts of cloud.
A dry and fine end to the day with plenty of evening sunshine. Staying dry overnight with clear spells, some patchy cloud and light winds. Some mist and fog may develop in prone spots. Minimum temperature 10 °C.
Continuing largely fine, dry and settled, however skies turning a little hazy at times. Still feeling rather warm. Maximum temperature 26 °C.
Largely dry over the next few days with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. A few showers are possible where the cloud thickens. Remaining warm.
Updated:
This period looks like being largely changeable, with many parts likely to see some rain at times. Rain will spread southeast across most if not all parts of the UK through this weekend, with some showers following. Further bands of rain look likely to spread southeast next week, interspersed with sunny spells and some showers. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are hints that high pressure could return for a time, which would mean dry conditions resuming, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, but occasionally fresh or strong around some coasts, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, warmest in the south, and perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. Some rain is still likely at times, especially across northern parts. Although many areas may see mainly dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light to moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: