New Moat (Pembrokeshire) weather

Headline:

Rain becoming more likely through the week ahead.

Today:

A grey start with the odd spot of light rain over the hills. Skies will brighten by lunchtime, with sunny spells developing through the afternoon. Cooler than recently, but still warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Tonight:

A bright evening in the south, but cloud will quickly increase elsewhere, bringing a few spots of light rain. Mostly overcast overnight, with further patchy rain possible. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Monday:

A rather cloudy start with spots of rain. Breaks in the cloud will allow some afternoon sunshine, though warm and humid conditions may trigger a few sharp showers later. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Rain is likely to move across Wales on Tuesday, perhaps with some heavier bursts. Sunshine and showers on Wednesday and Thursday.

A rather changeable period is likely, with many parts of the UK seeing showers or perhaps some longer spells of rain. However, there will be some drier interludes as high pressure moves across the UK at times. There is also a chance that deeper Atlantic lows could lead to periods of widespread rain and strong winds at times, while some outbreaks of thunderstorms are also possible. Temperatures are more likely to be above normal than below overall, though the possibility of widespread or exceptional heat is lower than in recent weeks.

As we move into the start of meteorological autumn, signals for the prevailing weather patterns affecting the UK are weak, thus something close to the climatological norm is most likely. This means a broad northwest-southeast split in conditions, with the high becoming centred further to the south than in the latter part of August and with more changeable conditions developing towards the north and northwest. Meanwhile, drier, more settled weather is slightly more likely towards the south and east. Temperatures are again likely to be near to or above average overall. There is a chance that late season hot spells or heatwaves develop, especially in the south.