Cwmbran (Torfaen) weather

Headline:

A benign few days, unsettled by the weekend.

Today:

A dull and damp start to the day. However, it should become drier and brighter through the morning with a few sunny spells developing for the afternoon, these mostly to the east of high ground. It will feel warmer. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Tonight:

Rather cloudy with a few breaks offering some bright or sunny spells to end the day. Often cloudy overnight with some patchy drizzle over the hills and mountains. Frost-free. Minimum temperature 5 °C.

Wednesday:

Rather cloudy on Wednesday with further outbreaks of light drizzle, mainly over the high ground. However, an organised band of rain likely to arrive from the northwest by the evening. Maximum temperature 13 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Patchy frost initially on Thursday, but then fine with some sunshine. Turning unsettled over the Easter weekend with showers or longer spells of rain. Some strong and gusty winds too.

It is increasingly likely that unsettled conditions will affect the UK over the Easter Holiday weekend, with the potential for strong winds and heavy rain at times. The wettest and windiest weather is more likely towards the west and north of the country. Beyond Easter, a broad northwest-southeast split is most likely, though the extent of high pressure into southern areas is unclear. That said, northern and western parts are more likely to remain rather unsettled overall, with further spells of wind and rain, and areas further southeast should see the best of the drier, clearer interludes. Temperatures probably fairly close to average overall, but occasional warmer spells are possible in the south.

The broad northwest-southeast split is most likely to be in place at the start of this period. However, the middle to latter part of the month is particularly uncertain, with conflicting signals as to whether high or low pressure will be dominant, but perhaps with a reduced chance of spells of windy weather compared to earlier in the month. As such, the scenario of April showers may be the most likely set-up, though with some drier, brighter days at times. Temperatures are unlikely to deviate too far from average overall, but some warmer days are likely where light winds and sunshine combine.