Bargoed (Caerphilly) weather

Headline:

Rain and showers clearing.

Today:

A cloudy and breezy start on Wednesday with further spells of rain or sharp showers, these soon clearing with sunny spells developing into the afternoon. Feeling warm in the sunshine with lighter winds. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Tonight:

Dry overnight with clear spells allowing mist and fog patches to form by dawn. Turning chilly under clear skies with a patchy rural frost possible. Minimum temperature 3 °C.

Thursday:

Mist and fog soon clearing leaving a dry and mostly bright or sunny day, though cloudier in the far west later. Light winds and feeling pleasant in any sunshine. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Increasingly cloudy for all on Friday, as rain moves slowly but erratically in from the west into Saturday. Becoming drier and warmer on Sunday with some bright or sunny spells.

Starting off with something of a northwest to southeast split; higher pressure located towards the southeast should bring fine and increasingly warm conditions across at least southern UK, whilst there is a greater chance of periods of cloud, rain and stronger winds affecting the north. There will be fine weather here at times as well too however. There's a small chance that fine and very warm weather could extend right across the country early next week, but it's more likely that cloud/rain in the northwest will sink southeast introducing more changeable and cooler conditions for a time mid-week. It then becomes roughly equal chances that we see a resumption of mainly fine and dry conditions versus a continuation of more changeable weather with a mixture of rain and drier interludes.

Forecast confidence is lower than average for this range, although fairly typical for late Spring. A typical mixture of drier and settled periods, and periods of wetter and more unsettled conditions, is on balance slightly more likely than predominantly unsettled or predominantly settled. Temperatures are likely to be around average overall, with a slightly increased chance of warm or hot spells. Any such spells could be accompanied by locally heavy showers and thunderstorms.