Usk No 2 (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

Rain and heavy showers tomorrow. Turning milder.

This Evening and Tonight:

Any showers gradually easing this evening in the west leaving a dry night with clear spells initially. Cloud building later with some patchy rain arriving into the far northwest by dawn. Turning chilly in places with a touch of frost. Minimum temperature 1 °C.

Friday:

Cloudy with further spells of rain pushing eastwards. Rain turning heavy at times, especially over the hills in the morning followed by heavy, blustery showers with hail. Milder. Maximum temperature 12 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Often cloudy with outbreaks of rain or showers, these heavy at times. Much milder than recent days though, and feeling pleasant in any sunny breaks that may develop. Windy.

Broadly changeable during this period with Atlantic frontal systems moving across the country and shorter dry and bright interludes in-between. Rain and showers typically heaviest and most frequent in the west, with more sheltered eastern areas seeing much smaller amounts of rain. Often windy with a chance of gales at times. Temperatures well above average at first, likely falling closer to average towards the end of February and into March, perhaps briefly cold enough for some wintry showers or even snow in upland areas of the north. A very small chance of more settled weather by the end of the period.

Confidence remains low through this period. The most likely outcome is a continuation of rather changeable conditions, with low pressure systems tending to pass close to or across the UK, bringing occasional spells of wet and windy weather, especially in the north and west. High pressure to the south may build across the UK at times to bring some drier, quieter interludes, this probably most frequent in the south and east - the chances of prolonged settled weather look very low. Temperatures are likely to be near or slightly above average for the period as a whole, though some relatively short-lived interludes of colder conditions remain possible.