Bourton-on-the-Water (Gloucestershire) weather

Headline:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain. Breezy.

Today:

Heavy, persistent rain clearing eastwards through the morning, though remaining mostly cloudy with rain and drizzle at times, mainly in the north and over the hills. Breezy and staying rather mild. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy this evening with further spells of rain and drizzle intermittently through the night. Remaining windy and feeling rather muggy overnight. Minimum temperature 14 °C.

Thursday:

A cloudy and mild start to Thursday with some drizzle in places. Turning drier and somewhat brighter through the afternoon with sunny intervals. Feeling humid and staying windy. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Remaining changeable with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Some brighter periods are also likely, mainly on Friday. Temperatures close to average but turning colder later Sunday. Breezy.

It is likely to be fairly unsettled at first, with areas of rain or showers, most widespread across central, southern and eastern areas, perhaps accompanied by some strong winds. Into next week, a northwest-southeast split is most likely, with some further rain or showers in southern and eastern areas, closest to an area of low pressure, whilst the best chance of longer, drier spells will be towards the north and northwest, where some patchy fog and rural frost are possible. It will also turn colder, as a northerly flow becomes established for a time. Later in the period, more widely drier and settled conditions could develop as high pressure becomes slightly more influential, although probably still with a few coastal showers. Temperatures should gradually return closer to average.

By the beginning of October, confidence is very low in the weather regimes most likely to affect the UK. On balance, slow-moving weather patterns are most likely, with high pressure probably close to the UK at times, at least initially. This should offer some occasional periods of dry weather, but there is always the chance in this type of setup that areas of low pressure nearby could impact parts of the UK, leading to some wetter conditions at times. Temperatures will likely fluctuate either side of, but often close to, average.