Swaythling (Southampton) weather

Headline:

Dry morning. Outbreaks of rain follow, heavy and blustery later.

Today:

Dry, cloudy start for most. Outbreaks of rain, perhaps heavy, then spreading east around midday, with brighter spells following during the afternoon. A more organised band of heavy and blustery rain likely moving east late afternoon and early evening. Mild. Maximum temperature 12 °C.

Tonight:

Evening showers quickly fading, with clear spells possible for a time. However cloud will thicken from the west overnight, with some rain possible, clearing by dawn. Staying mild and breezy Minimum temperature 6 °C.

Saturday:

Early cloud will break with brighter or sunny spells developing. Cloud then thickening again through the afternoon with some light rain possible, but many parts staying dry. Mild but breezy. Maximum temperature 14 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Rain gradually clearing Sunday, perhaps some brighter spells following. Cloudier Monday, with some rain possible, but mostly dry. Variable cloud Tuesday, and perhaps very mild in brighter spells. Windy.

Broadly changeable during this period with Atlantic frontal systems moving across the country and shorter dry and bright interludes in-between. Rain and showers typically heaviest and most frequent in the west, with more sheltered eastern areas seeing much smaller amounts of rain. Often windy with a chance of gales at times. Temperatures well above average at first, likely falling closer to average towards the end of February and into March, perhaps briefly cold enough for some wintry showers or even snow in upland areas of the north. A very small chance of more settled weather by the end of the period.

Confidence remains low through this period. The most likely outcome is a continuation of rather changeable conditions, with low pressure systems tending to pass close to or across the UK, bringing occasional spells of wet and windy weather, especially in the north and west. High pressure to the south may build across the UK at times to bring some drier, quieter interludes, this probably most frequent in the south and east - the chances of prolonged settled weather look very low. Temperatures are likely to be near or slightly above average for the period as a whole, though some relatively short-lived interludes of colder conditions remain possible.