Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
19°
|
21°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
17°
|
19°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
7
|
NE
7
|
NE
7
|
SSE
8
|
S
9
|
SSW
9
|
S
9
|
S
9
|
SSW
9
|
SSW
8
|
SSW
7
|
SSW
6
|
S
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
17
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
12
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
41%
|
43%
|
46%
|
52%
|
55%
|
57%
|
61%
|
64%
|
67%
|
74%
|
| UV | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
4
|
ESE
3
|
E
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNE
3
|
NNE
3
|
N
4
|
NNE
5
|
N
6
|
N
7
|
NNE
7
|
NE
7
|
NE
8
|
S
8
|
S
9
|
SSW
9
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
9
|
SSW
9
|
SW
9
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
7
|
SW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
80%
|
82%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
82%
|
73%
|
66%
|
63%
|
55%
|
54%
|
48%
|
43%
|
46%
|
49%
|
52%
|
54%
|
55%
|
57%
|
62%
|
68%
|
74%
|
80%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
23°
|
24°
|
25°
|
25°
|
25°
|
26°
|
26°
|
25°
|
24°
|
23°
|
21°
|
19°
|
19°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
16°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
21°
|
21°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
6
|
SW
5
|
WSW
5
|
WSW
5
|
WNW
5
|
WNW
4
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
WNW
5
|
WSW
6
|
SW
8
|
SW
11
|
SW
11
|
SW
13
|
SW
13
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
13
|
W
10
|
W
9
|
NNE
9
|
ENE
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
21
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
87%
|
88%
|
90%
|
91%
|
93%
|
92%
|
81%
|
72%
|
64%
|
57%
|
53%
|
46%
|
44%
|
46%
|
46%
|
45%
|
43%
|
43%
|
47%
|
55%
|
64%
|
71%
|
75%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
8
|
ENE
8
|
ENE
7
|
ENE
6
|
NE
6
|
NE
6
|
NE
5
|
ENE
5
|
E
7
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
SSE
9
|
S
10
|
S
11
|
S
11
|
S
11
|
S
11
|
S
11
|
S
10
|
S
9
|
S
8
|
S
7
|
S
6
|
S
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
18
|
18
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
79%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
87%
|
89%
|
87%
|
79%
|
70%
|
63%
|
61%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
58%
|
57%
|
58%
|
60%
|
63%
|
64%
|
67%
|
75%
|
79%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
24°
|
24°
|
24°
|
24°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
17°
|
19°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
5
|
SE
5
|
NNW
4
|
NNW
3
|
N
3
|
NNE
3
|
N
3
|
N
3
|
NNW
3
|
SSW
5
|
SSW
5
|
SSW
6
|
SSW
9
|
SSW
10
|
S
11
|
S
11
|
SSW
11
|
SSW
11
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
9
|
SW
8
|
SW
7
|
WSW
7
|
W
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
91%
|
91%
|
90%
|
81%
|
73%
|
64%
|
58%
|
55%
|
51%
|
48%
|
47%
|
46%
|
47%
|
47%
|
48%
|
53%
|
58%
|
67%
|
72%
|
73%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
16°
|
20°
|
24°
|
23°
|
21°
|
19°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
16°
|
19°
|
21°
|
21°
|
19°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
6
|
WNW
6
|
NW
5
|
NW
5
|
WNW
7
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
11
|
WSW
11
|
W
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
11
|
10
|
14
|
19
|
23
|
23
|
21
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
78%
|
86%
|
79%
|
62%
|
45%
|
46%
|
55%
|
68%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
17°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
22°
|
25°
|
22°
|
19°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
17°
|
20°
|
22°
|
19°
|
16°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
10
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
13
|
W
14
|
WNW
14
|
NW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
16
|
20
|
22
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
88%
|
87%
|
76%
|
59%
|
47%
|
49%
|
61%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
Thorney Island weather map
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Cloudy and dry with afternoon sunny spells.
A cloudy but dry start to the morning, with cloud breaking through the late morning and the afternoon with long sunny spells developing. Winds mainly light and variable. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
Coastal cloud will move inland giving a cloudy but dry evening across the region. Winds light and variable but breezy along the coast. Minimum temperature 14 °C.
A cloudy and dry start to the day, sunny spells start to develop during the afternoon with clear skies overnight. Winds remain light and breezy along the coast. Maximum temperature 26 °C.
Remaining very warm with light winds. Variable amounts of cloud but plenty of sunny or clear spells. Most parts dry though an isolated shower can't be ruled out.
Updated:
Dry on Friday for most with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Into the weekend and perhaps the start of next week, more unsettled weather with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could become more light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: