Chad Valley (West Midlands Conurbation) weather

Headline:

Turning cloudy from the east but remaining mostly dry.

This Evening and Tonight:

Another sunny and warm evening but turning cloudier from the east overnight, bringing mist and murk over the Peak District. The cloud thick enough to give the odd spot of drizzle. Staying mild. Minimum temperature 14 °C.

Monday:

Rather cloudy for many at first but gradually turning brighter with sunny intervals and then more prolonged sunny periods later. Feeling a bit cooler, especially in the easterly breeze. Maximum temperature 23 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

A dry and settled period of weather is expected with a mixture of cloud and sunny periods. Lower temperatures than of late but feeling warm in any sunshine.

High pressure is likely to be the dominant feature at first bringing widely fine and dry weather whilst a generally northerly flow leads to rather cool conditions. This will be increasingly eroded from the west as frontal systems start to move in from the Atlantic through the weekend, leading to more changeable conditions. Whilst this is happening a deep area of low pressure is likely to develop in the North Atlantic, linked to Hurricane Erin. This likely progresses towards the UK through the early part of the week. The changeable period will likely continue through the last week of August, especially in the north and west, with a small chance of widely wetter and windier weather developing. The evolution of this is highly uncertain though.

Confidence in the details through this period is low. However, low pressure and therefore unsettled or changeable weather looks more likely. There will be the potential for periods of stronger winds at times as well. Whether this takes the form of further low pressure systems running in from the Atlantic, or a more slowly evolving weather pattern with the potential for heavy showers is less clear. Temperatures are likely to be near to, or slightly above average overall.