Birmingham (West Midlands Conurbation) weather

Headline:

Dry to start with heavy showery rain arriving overnight.

This Evening and Tonight:

A dry evening with some late sunny spells, before skies turn cloudier overnight. Heavy showers spread northwards bringing a risk of thunder and hail by dawn. Warm and humid for all. Minimum temperature 16 °C.

Saturday:

Widely cloudy with frequent, heavy downpours of rain, and more prolonged periods bringing the risk of thunderstorms and hail. Some drier, brighter breaks possible later in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Remaining unsettled. Further heavy showers continue to bring the risk of thunder and hail throughout the period. Warm and humid in brighter spells, but temperatures suppressed beneath cloudy skies.

Overall a rather more changeable pattern of weather through this period, compared to much of the summer thus far. Wednesday will likely see a continuation of heavy, perhaps thundery showers, although the focus may be more across the north and east by this stage. Thereafter, a general westerly or north-westerly regime looks to become established, with occasional weather systems moving in from the Atlantic. This means further rain or showers and breezy conditions at times, especially in the northwest. This will be interspersed with some drier, sunnier periods. Temperatures are expected to be close to or a little above average for most of the period. This broad pattern is likely to continue through to the end of July.

The rather changeable pattern will likely continue through into the start of August with spells of rain or showers mixed in with some drier, brighter days. However there are signs that high pressure may become rather more dominant, which could bring more in the way dry, settled weather more widely as we progress further into the month. Temperatures will likely continue to be above average overall, with the possibility of very warm or hot spells developing period, especially further south and east.