Why probability is the key to future weather forecasts
Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.
Read more| Time |
22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||
| Chance of precipitation |
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
5
|
E
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
97%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
60%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
SE
7
|
SE
8
|
SE
9
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
11
|
ESE
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
14
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
26
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
28
|
28
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
96%
|
91%
|
87%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
89%
|
92%
|
90%
|
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
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16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
30%
|
60%
|
60%
|
80%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
14
|
E
15
|
E
16
|
E
16
|
E
16
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
17
|
E
16
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
30
|
31
|
31
|
31
|
31
|
32
|
32
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
33
|
31
|
31
|
30
|
30
|
29
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
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08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
E
9
|
E
9
|
E
9
|
E
9
|
E
8
|
E
8
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
E
8
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
ESE
7
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
14
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
94%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
7°
|
8°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
6
|
SSE
6
|
SSE
6
|
SE
6
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
16
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
96%
|
91%
|
85%
|
92%
|
94%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
8
|
SE
9
|
SE
9
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
15
|
18
|
19
|
17
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
91%
|
87%
|
91%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Rowley's Green weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
A dull and damp night ahead.
A damp end to Tuesday as rain and hill snow gradually clears northwards overnight. Remaining cloudy after this with the potential for low cloud and isolated fog patches to form as winds fall light. A chilly night, with frost possible. Minimum temperature 1 °C.
Rather murky in places to begin as low cloud lifts and lingering spots of rain ease. Turning drier from then on, with brighter spells emerging. Feeling milder than Tuesday. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Remaining quite dull throughout the week with limited brighter spells, giving a cool feel. Some drier moments but with the ongoing chance of rain and showers. Breezy at times.
Updated:
Cyclonic patterns are expected to dominate across the UK during mid-February. Frontal systems over the Atlantic are likely to approach the UK at times, tending to become slow moving as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the northeast. This will result in showers or longer spells of rain spreading across the UK, these heavy at times. Rainfall amounts will probably be highest in parts of the west, including across areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, snow is possible across northern England and Scotland, mainly over high ground. Strong winds could develop in places, especially coasts. Temperatures will probably be close to normal overall, with any cold conditions more likely in the north.
Updated:
Changeable conditions are expected across the UK during this period. Low pressure systems will probably dominate, meaning showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, for much of the UK and some hill snow in the north. Periods of strong wind are also possible, especially around coasts. Temperatures will likely be close to average or slightly above overall.
Updated: