Rugby (Warwickshire) weather

Headline:

Becoming dry overnight, then brighter and warmer on Thursday.

This Evening and Tonight:

The chance of an isolated shower at first, but most places staying dry this evening and overnight. Clear periods developing and turning quite chilly with perhaps a local grass frost in prone rural locations. Patchy mist or fog possible. Minimum temperature 3 °C.

Thursday:

Any mist clearing, then a generally fine day with a mixture of sunny periods and patchy cloud. Feeling warmer than on Wednesday with a light easterly breeze. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Mostly fine on Friday with warm sunny spells. Showery rain overnight, perhaps lingering in places into the first part of Saturday. Warmer on Sunday with sunny periods developing. Light winds.

Most likely starting off widely fine with sunny spells, following the clearance of early morning mist and fog. This most likely in the south, whilst in the north there's a greater chance of more cloud which may take some time to clear. There's a small chance that fine and very warm weather could extend right across the country over the following days, but it's more likely that cloud/rain in the northwest will sink southeast introducing more changeable and cooler conditions for a time mid-week. It then becomes roughly equal chances that we see a resumption of mainly fine and dry conditions versus a continuation of more changeable weather with a mixture of rain and drier interludes.

Forecast confidence is lower than average for this range, although fairly typical for late Spring. A typical mixture of drier and settled periods, and periods of wetter and more unsettled conditions, is on balance slightly more likely than predominantly unsettled or predominantly settled. Temperatures are likely to be around average overall, with a slightly increased chance of warm or hot spells. Any such spells could be accompanied by locally heavy showers and thunderstorms.