Cold Ashby (Northamptonshire) weather

Headline:

Further outbreaks of rain and drizzle, particularly in the west.

Today:

Cloudy, with western and northern parts seeing further outbreaks of rain and drizzle. Patchy mist and hill fog also persisting for much of the day. Likely drier further east, with some brighter intervals developing. Mild. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Tonight:

Outbreaks of rain and drizzle likely spreading further east overnight, heavy at times. Some drier periods still likely. Turning less misty with winds strengthening, but staying cloudy with hill fog. Minimum temperature 6 °C.

Tuesday:

The odd spot of rain or drizzle remains possible at first, but soon easing with most places dry. Variable cloud and some sunny spells follow, but also a strengthening breeze. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Rather windy, especially over hills, with a mixture of variable cloud and outbreaks of rain, perhaps turning persistent late Wednesday. Daytime temperatures near normal for January, but staying milder overnight.

Throughout this period, the UK will see a battle between Atlantic weather systems attempting to push in from the west while high pressure and colder, drier conditions attempt to exert some influence from the east. Initially, milder Atlantic air is expected to dominate for most parts, with showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures are likely to be around or a little above average, except in the far northeast where it is likely to be colder with some sleet or snow. There is then an increased chance that conditions will turn more widely colder and drier. This aspect of the forecast is still somewhat uncertain but the potential transition to colder weather also increases the chance of snow across parts of the country.

Initially, slowly evolving weather patterns are most likely in the vicinity of the UK, with low pressure typically to the west or southwest and high pressure to the northeast. This configuration brings an increased chance of cold conditions affecting the UK, and the associated risk of wintry hazards at times. Deeper into February, whilst confidence is naturally low, there may be a transition to more widely unsettled conditions and a corresponding recovery in temperature back closer to average.