East Midlands

Headline:

More unsettled than of late, with temperatures closer to normal.

Today:

Rather cloudy and dry through Tuesday morning, some brighter spells likely especially in east. Slow-moving showers look set to arrive and turn rather heavy late afternoon and into the evening. Turning dry overnight with winds continuing light. Maximum temperature 21 °C.

Tonight:

Showers fading during Tuesday evening then a fine night with some cloud breaks, allowing temperatures to dip. Winds remaining light. Minimum temperature 12 °C.

Wednesday:

Wednesday morning generally dry and bright. Thickening cloud in the afternoon brings a risk of rain later in the afternoon. Most parts seeing rain by evening. Rain clearing overnight, breezy. Maximum temperature 23 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Thursday, Friday and Saturday are likely to remain mostly dry and breezy, with some clear or sunny spells. Temperatures close or a little above average throughout.

High pressure will dominate across England and Wales over the weekend, bringing dry and warm conditions with plenty of sunshine for most. Scotland and Northern Ireland will probably see more cloud this weekend, with periods of rain mainly affecting western Scotland at times. Into the following working week, high pressure remains slow moving over England and Wales, perhaps extending northwards to bring drier and warmer weather to Scotland and Northern Ireland. Winds will be light to moderate for most, though stronger around northern hills and coasts near low pressure systems. Temperatures will rise through the period, perhaps becoming very warm or hot in places.

From mid July, high pressure is more likely than low pressure, bringing a greater chance of settled and drier conditions. Occasionally this dry and warm weather could be interrupted by outbreaks of rain with stronger winds, this most likely further north if this occurs. As is typical for the time of year, there remains a risk of heavy, thundery showers during any warm spells. Towards the end of July there is a slight preference for a continuation of high pressure to dominate, however confidence at this range is low. In any case, temperatures are likely to be above average overall, with a greater than normal chance of hot conditions developing at times.