2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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15:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
90%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
80%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
80%
|
70%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
10
|
SE
8
|
SSE
8
|
S
9
|
S
12
|
SW
14
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
22
|
17
|
18
|
24
|
29
|
36
|
34
|
36
|
34
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
97%
|
93%
|
92%
|
89%
|
82%
|
| UV | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
10%
|
20%
|
50%
|
70%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
13
|
SW
14
|
SW
16
|
SW
17
|
SSW
18
|
SW
19
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
17
|
SW
18
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
16
|
SW
15
|
SW
14
|
SW
12
|
SW
12
|
SW
11
|
SSW
11
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
10
|
S
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
33
|
35
|
34
|
37
|
38
|
38
|
38
|
39
|
38
|
39
|
40
|
40
|
39
|
37
|
35
|
33
|
30
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
E
|
| Humidity |
78%
|
76%
|
77%
|
78%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
80%
|
80%
|
78%
|
78%
|
81%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
86%
|
88%
|
89%
|
91%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
11
|
S
11
|
SSE
11
|
SSE
11
|
SSE
12
|
SSE
13
|
SSE
13
|
SSE
13
|
SSE
13
|
SSE
13
|
SE
13
|
SE
13
|
SE
14
|
SE
14
|
SE
14
|
SE
14
|
SE
14
|
ESE
13
|
ESE
13
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
12
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
91%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
90%
|
88%
|
89%
|
87%
|
85%
|
83%
|
81%
|
82%
|
83%
|
84%
|
86%
|
88%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
90%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
11
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
ENE
11
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
NE
10
|
NE
10
|
NE
10
|
NE
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
26
|
25
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
19
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
90%
|
89%
|
89%
|
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
88%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
9
|
NE
9
|
NE
10
|
NE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
11
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
12
|
E
11
|
E
11
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
8
|
ENE
8
|
ENE
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
24
|
21
|
19
|
17
|
15
|
12
|
12
|
14
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
89%
|
89%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
90%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
7
|
ENE
7
|
ENE
7
|
ENE
8
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
8
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
90%
|
89%
|
88%
|
87%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
7°
|
7°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
10
|
NE
10
|
NE
8
|
ENE
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
11
|
12
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
77%
|
79%
|
80%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Cartmel Racecourse weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
Further spells of wet and windy weather to come.
The morning will get off to a bright and breezy start. However, cloud will gradually thicken from the southwest with wet and increasingly windy weather arriving for the afternoon. Some heavy bursts of rain developing. A fairly mild day though. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
The evening will begin cloudy with blustery showers. The showers will ease overnight and some clear spells will develop, although the southwesterly wind will stay brisk and gusty. Staying frost-free. Minimum temperature 5 °C.
Friday will bring a mix of sunshine and scattered showers. The showers should begin to die out later in the day. Feeling cool due to the breezy conditions. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
After a mostly fine start, it will turn windy on Saturday. Rain arriving later. Sunday and Monday look rather cloudy with further patchy rain, although the wind will ease somewhat.
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A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
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