Arnside (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Rain and hill snow easing, changeable this weekend.

This Evening and Tonight:

Largely cloudy this evening and overnight and turning rather foggy over higher ground. Showery rain and drizzle possible in places. Remaining largely frost-free with blustery easterly winds developing, mainly on hills and around the coasts. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Saturday:

A grey day with overcast skies for many and the odd spot of rain or drizzle. Occasionally brighter across Cumbria and in coastal regions elsewhere. Breezy. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Drier on Sunday with low cloud and fog lingering for some, otherwise a brighter day with sunny spells. Increasingly windy early next week with rain and hill snow at times.

Frontal systems over the North Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.