2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
80%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-3°
|
-3°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
23
|
S
24
|
SSW
27
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
28
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
30
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
30
|
32
|
40
|
40
|
38
|
37
|
36
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
96%
|
93%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
30%
|
50%
|
50%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
2°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
30
|
SW
31
|
SW
34
|
SW
37
|
SW
36
|
SW
36
|
SW
35
|
SW
34
|
SW
34
|
SW
34
|
SW
33
|
SW
33
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
30
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
30
|
WSW
28
|
SW
26
|
SW
24
|
SW
23
|
SW
21
|
SSW
20
|
SSW
20
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
37
|
39
|
43
|
45
|
44
|
44
|
44
|
44
|
43
|
43
|
44
|
44
|
43
|
41
|
39
|
37
|
34
|
33
|
31
|
29
|
28
|
26
|
25
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
90%
|
89%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
21
|
SSW
22
|
S
23
|
S
21
|
S
22
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
24
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
27
|
SSE
28
|
SSE
29
|
SSE
30
|
SSE
29
|
SSE
29
|
SE
32
|
SE
32
|
SE
33
|
SE
33
|
SE
32
|
SE
31
|
SE
31
|
SE
31
|
SE
31
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
31
|
33
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
35
|
35
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
35
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
P
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
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15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
30
|
SE
29
|
SE
28
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
25
|
E
24
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
24
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
22
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
33
|
32
|
31
|
27
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
25
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
91%
|
91%
|
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-4°
|
-4°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
22
|
E
21
|
E
22
|
E
19
|
E
19
|
ESE
19
|
ESE
19
|
E
20
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
20
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
20
|
ESE
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
26
|
25
|
25
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
94%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
91%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-5°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-3°
|
-4°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
17
|
E
14
|
E
12
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
13
|
NE
12
|
NE
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
P
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
88%
|
90%
|
93%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
12
|
NE
10
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
17
|
ENE
14
|
E
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
11
|
12
|
15
|
18
|
18
|
16
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
P
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
92%
|
92%
|
94%
|
84%
|
88%
|
92%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Grasmoor weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
A few showers on Friday but drier than of late.
Further rain spreading eastwards this evening, briefly heavy in places. Turning drier by midnight with a mainly dry second half to the night. Colder than last night but staying mostly frost-free. Southwesterly winds freshening in places later with isolated showers. Minimum temperature 3 °C.
A blustery and often cloudy day with occasional sunny intervals and the chance of a few heavy showers. Windy in many coastal and upland areas. Feeling cool in the breeze. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
Mostly fine on Saturday with some sunshine. Mainly cloudy on Sunday and Monday and occasionally dull with some rain and drizzle at times. Breezy at first but winds easing thereafter.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure will probably be close to the UK at the start of this period, perhaps most likely centred to the west, and whilst this may allow relatively settled and dry conditions with a risk of frost and fog initially, there will be the chance of some occasional wet weather at times, perhaps more especially in the north and east. Given some relatively cold air close to the UK, this may bring the chance of some wintry hazards in places. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to develop more widely, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
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