Carlisle (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Some rain to begin the week, settling down by mid-week.

This Evening and Tonight:

Heavy and blustery showers continuing overnight, with hail in places and some snow over the hills. Showers turning less numerous later. Blustery winds slowly easing and turning into a cold night with patchy frost and ice, mainly over higher ground. Minimum temperature 1 °C.

Monday:

Many places dry and often bright through the morning with isolated showers clearing. Cloudier by the afternoon with occasional rain arriving. Southwesterly winds freshening and turning a bit milder. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Rather windy and mainly cloudy on Tuesday with spots of light rain in places. Warmer on Wednesday and Thursday with some sunshine at times. Chilly nights with isolated fog patches.

Under the influence of high pressure it will be a settled start to this period, with most places predominantly dry. Temperatures will be close to or a little above average, although for parts of the south it will feel cooler than earlier in the week with a brisk easterly wind starting to develop. Overall though is spells of spring sunshine it should feel quite pleasant. How long the settled conditions last is less certain with some signals that showers / rain could return later in the period, most likely to the south.

Blocked, or slowly evolving, weather patterns are favoured for late March into early April, with high pressure probably building to the north or northeast of the UK. Whilst confidence is low in how this will influence the weather across the UK, this tends to lead to a more prolonged period of a certain weather type, be it settled or unsettled. In any case, a reduction in Atlantic-dominated weather patterns is likely, although some wet weather remains possible at times, perhaps more especially in the south and east whilst northwestern areas tend to be drier than average. Temperatures will probably be close to average for the period as a whole, but there is an increased chance of some colder conditions developing for a time with a risk of frost.