Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
10°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
8°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
10
|
N
9
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
10
|
NNE
9
|
ENE
10
|
E
10
|
E
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
65%
|
63%
|
61%
|
61%
|
63%
|
64%
|
68%
|
82%
|
85%
|
89%
|
| UV | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
7°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
9
|
E
8
|
E
7
|
NE
8
|
N
8
|
NNW
9
|
NW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
8
|
11
|
12
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
89%
|
90%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
86%
|
79%
|
74%
|
67%
|
63%
|
56%
|
51%
|
46%
|
43%
|
43%
|
42%
|
43%
|
44%
|
52%
|
62%
|
67%
|
74%
|
78%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
11
|
WSW
11
|
WSW
11
|
W
11
|
WSW
11
|
W
10
|
W
9
|
WNW
8
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
11
|
WNW
11
|
SW
11
|
SSW
11
|
SSW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
P
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
M
|
| Humidity |
82%
|
87%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
90%
|
86%
|
82%
|
78%
|
75%
|
71%
|
68%
|
65%
|
63%
|
61%
|
60%
|
59%
|
60%
|
64%
|
72%
|
78%
|
84%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
10
|
SW
10
|
SW
10
|
SW
10
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
8
|
W
8
|
W
9
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
16
|
WNW
17
|
WNW
18
|
WNW
18
|
WNW
18
|
WNW
18
|
WNW
19
|
WNW
17
|
WNW
17
|
W
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
15
|
16
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
92%
|
88%
|
84%
|
77%
|
72%
|
66%
|
62%
|
58%
|
57%
|
57%
|
59%
|
63%
|
65%
|
69%
|
76%
|
84%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
15
|
W
14
|
W
15
|
W
15
|
W
16
|
W
17
|
WNW
16
|
WNW
16
|
WNW
16
|
WNW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NW
11
|
WSW
10
|
S
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
93%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
93%
|
87%
|
81%
|
76%
|
69%
|
65%
|
62%
|
58%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
58%
|
63%
|
68%
|
78%
|
85%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
8°
|
9°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
14°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
6°
|
6°
|
9°
|
12°
|
13°
|
11°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
8
|
SW
8
|
WSW
8
|
W
9
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
14
|
W
16
|
W
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
9
|
8
|
15
|
18
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
M
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
94%
|
98%
|
93%
|
77%
|
65%
|
61%
|
68%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
12°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
9°
|
10°
|
9°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
14
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
15
|
W
17
|
W
15
|
W
17
|
W
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
18
|
19
|
23
|
27
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
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VP
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P
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G
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M
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M
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| Humidity |
92%
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94%
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92%
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83%
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74%
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70%
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73%
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87%
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| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
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Mostly dry and sunny. Morning cloud, patchy rain in east.
A mostly dry day. A sunny start in the west but otherwise quite cloudy with the odd spot of light rain possible in the east. Cloud clearing through the morning to leave good sunny spells across the region. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
It will stay dry throughout the evening and overnight. Some prolonged spells of evening sunshine leading to clear spells overnight. Minimum temperature 7 °C.
Dry and warm with lengthy sunny spells for much of the day, but sunshine turning somewhat hazier as cloud spreads south in the afternoon and evening. Warmer in the east. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
It will be a mostly dry few days with variable cloud and some warm sunny spells, chance of some patchy light rain in southwest on Wednesday morning. Mainly light winds.
Updated:
For much of the UK, dry at first with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Towards the weekend and perhaps into the start of next week, perhaps a more unsettled period with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could be light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we head into next week, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: