Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders

Headline:

Dry with bright spells Tuesday once fog clears.

This Evening and Tonight:

Dry with some clear spells and light winds allowing a touch of frost in places. Mist and fog forming overnight, especially Central Belt and Borders, with a risk of freezing fog in places. Cloudier around the east coast. Minimum temperature 0 °C.

Tuesday:

Any overnight fog may be quite slow to clear. Otherwise dry with bright or sunny spells developing. Chance of some frost and fog developing again overnight. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Turning chillier but staying dry and sunny on Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight frost and fog possible under clearer skies. Milder with bright spells Friday, the odd shower in west.

High pressure will initially dominate, with widely settled conditions and overnight frost. Some showers are likely in northern and western Scotland though, and perhaps along some other western coasts for a time. Later in the weekend, a transition to more unsettled conditions is expected as bands of rain, and associated areas of low pressure, arrive from the North Atlantic, bringing more widespread wet and windy weather. It is likely to remain fairly changeable through the remainder of the period, with occasional rain interspersed with brighter, showery spells. Whilst colder conditions will be possible at times, especially at first, it will often be mild, with temperatures near or a little above average for the time of year.

Changeable or unsettled conditions are expected through late November and into early December, as Atlantic frontal systems track close to or across the UK at times. These will bring periods of rain and strong winds, perhaps with some snow in the north, mainly over hills, interspersed with brighter, more showery interludes. Temperatures will often be mild, particularly away from the far north where brief colder interludes are possible. Although confidence is low, there may be a tendency for the track of low pressure systems to shift southwards later in the period. In this scenario, rain will still be likely at times, especially across central and southern parts of the UK, while more northern areas may become somewhat drier, and all parts may become somewhat colder.