Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
5
|
WNW
4
|
NW
4
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NW
7
|
SSW
8
|
S
8
|
S
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
8
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
70%
|
67%
|
66%
|
66%
|
65%
|
64%
|
63%
|
62%
|
60%
|
59%
|
58%
|
58%
|
62%
|
70%
|
76%
|
83%
|
85%
|
| UV | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
15°
|
13°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
9
|
SSW
7
|
SSW
7
|
SSW
7
|
SW
7
|
SW
7
|
SW
6
|
WSW
6
|
W
6
|
W
7
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
NW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
11
|
W
11
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
11
|
W
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
89%
|
91%
|
93%
|
96%
|
97%
|
96%
|
92%
|
86%
|
84%
|
79%
|
75%
|
70%
|
65%
|
59%
|
56%
|
56%
|
55%
|
57%
|
62%
|
66%
|
74%
|
78%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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06:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
WNW
6
|
WNW
6
|
W
5
|
W
6
|
W
7
|
W
8
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
10
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
7
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
91%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
94%
|
91%
|
86%
|
83%
|
77%
|
75%
|
71%
|
69%
|
66%
|
65%
|
63%
|
63%
|
63%
|
64%
|
67%
|
73%
|
79%
|
85%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
8
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
SW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
10
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
14
|
W
15
|
W
15
|
W
16
|
W
17
|
W
17
|
W
17
|
W
17
|
W
16
|
W
16
|
W
15
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
9
|
9
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
22
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
91%
|
94%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
94%
|
90%
|
85%
|
78%
|
74%
|
71%
|
69%
|
67%
|
67%
|
67%
|
70%
|
71%
|
74%
|
78%
|
81%
|
87%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
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08:00
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09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
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12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
16
|
WSW
16
|
W
16
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
W
24
|
W
24
|
W
23
|
W
23
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
23
|
25
|
27
|
28
|
30
|
31
|
31
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
31
|
30
|
28
|
25
|
23
|
21
|
21
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
93%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
94%
|
92%
|
88%
|
85%
|
79%
|
75%
|
71%
|
68%
|
67%
|
66%
|
66%
|
66%
|
67%
|
69%
|
74%
|
78%
|
83%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
16
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
18
|
W
17
|
W
14
|
W
16
|
W
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
21
|
23
|
23
|
25
|
27
|
28
|
26
|
22
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
88%
|
90%
|
87%
|
80%
|
75%
|
71%
|
75%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
11°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
11
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
16
|
WNW
16
|
W
17
|
W
17
|
W
15
|
WSW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
22
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
95%
|
92%
|
79%
|
69%
|
66%
|
68%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
Blackhope Scar weather map
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Dry with increasingly long sunny spells on Monday.
It will be a dry day and cloudy at times with sunny spells. Mostly cloudy in the morning with some longer sunny spells developing through the course of the day. Warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
A dry evening with plenty of late evening sunshine on offer, but cloudier in the east. Remaining dry overnight with long clear spells in the west but cloudier in east. Minimum temperature 11 °C.
A dry day with occasional cloud and plenty of long sunny spells. A warmer day than Monday for many. Maximum temperature 25 °C.
A largely dry and settled few days with the odd spot of rain possible at times. Cloudy at times but still plenty of bright or sunny spells on offer.
Updated:
Dry on Friday for most with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Into the weekend and perhaps the start of next week, more unsettled weather with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could become more light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: