Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
6
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
NNE
7
|
N
5
|
N
4
|
N
4
|
N
4
|
NNW
5
|
NW
5
|
NNW
5
|
SE
3
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
14
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
53%
|
46%
|
42%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
41%
|
60%
|
68%
|
76%
|
80%
|
| UV | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
3
|
E
3
|
ENE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
ENE
3
|
ENE
3
|
ENE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNE
3
|
NE
4
|
NE
4
|
NE
5
|
ENE
5
|
E
5
|
ENE
5
|
NE
5
|
E
5
|
E
4
|
NE
5
|
NE
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
9
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
82%
|
83%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
84%
|
77%
|
74%
|
68%
|
65%
|
61%
|
57%
|
56%
|
55%
|
56%
|
57%
|
58%
|
61%
|
63%
|
69%
|
79%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
ENE
2
|
S
2
|
SSW
3
|
SW
3
|
SW
5
|
SW
7
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
7
|
WSW
7
|
SW
5
|
W
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
12
|
13
|
17
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
17
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
90%
|
87%
|
83%
|
76%
|
75%
|
74%
|
68%
|
65%
|
63%
|
61%
|
60%
|
62%
|
63%
|
64%
|
67%
|
73%
|
81%
|
86%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
14°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
4
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
N
3
|
NNE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNE
3
|
NNW
3
|
WNW
3
|
NW
4
|
NW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
5
|
NNW
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
91%
|
85%
|
79%
|
75%
|
72%
|
65%
|
61%
|
57%
|
56%
|
55%
|
54%
|
54%
|
56%
|
61%
|
66%
|
75%
|
82%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
4
|
N
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NE
3
|
NNW
3
|
SW
3
|
WSW
3
|
WSW
5
|
WSW
5
|
WSW
7
|
W
8
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
8
|
W
7
|
W
5
|
W
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
16
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
87%
|
90%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
85%
|
82%
|
76%
|
73%
|
67%
|
65%
|
63%
|
62%
|
60%
|
61%
|
62%
|
64%
|
66%
|
71%
|
78%
|
85%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
19°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
4
|
W
3
|
WSW
3
|
W
5
|
W
8
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
10
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
10
|
12
|
19
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
19
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
92%
|
95%
|
89%
|
77%
|
67%
|
67%
|
72%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
5
|
WSW
5
|
WSW
5
|
WSW
7
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
8
|
WSW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
6
|
9
|
19
|
24
|
26
|
25
|
20
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
P
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
98%
|
94%
|
78%
|
69%
|
68%
|
74%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
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Dry, warm and bright today
Patchy cloud this morning will slowly clear, giving blue skies and strong sunshine across much of the region this afternoon. Feeling very warm in the light winds with temperatures in the low to mid 20s Celsius. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
Cloud will gradually fade to give a fine end to the day with some late sunshine. Staying dry overnight with clear skies and light winds, and turning cool. Minimum temperature 12 °C.
Dry with plenty of sunshine on Monday morning. A little cloud will bubble up during the afternoon, but still plenty of sunny spells. Pleasant in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
Largely dry over the next few days with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. A few showers are possible on Wednesday where the cloud thickens. Temperatures around average.
Updated:
For much of the UK, dry at first with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Towards the weekend and perhaps into the start of next week, perhaps a more unsettled period with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could be light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we head into next week, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: