The Calf (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Rain clearing to brighter spells. Breezy.

Today:

Heavy, persistent rain clears eastwards through this morning, with some bright or sunny spells developing through the afternoon. A few spells of rain will linger in places, and staying breezy for most. Feeling rather humid. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Drier this evening with a mixture of cloud and clear spells. Cloud building overnight with spells of rain arriving from the southwest by dawn. Remaining breezy and mild. Minimum temperature 10 °C.

Thursday:

Largely cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavy at times throughout much of the day. Turning increasingly windy, especially along the hills and exposed coasts. Maximum temperature 22 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Remaining changeable with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Some brighter periods are also likely, though often breezy. Turning colder on Sunday with sunny spells.

It is likely to be fairly unsettled at first, with areas of rain or showers, most widespread across central, southern and eastern areas, perhaps accompanied by some strong winds. Into next week, a northwest-southeast split is most likely, with some further rain or showers in southern and eastern areas, closest to an area of low pressure, whilst the best chance of longer, drier spells will be towards the north and northwest, where some patchy fog and rural frost are possible. It will also turn colder, as a northerly flow becomes established for a time. Later in the period, more widely drier and settled conditions could develop as high pressure becomes slightly more influential, although probably still with a few coastal showers. Temperatures should gradually return closer to average.

By the beginning of October, confidence is very low in the weather regimes most likely to affect the UK. On balance, slow-moving weather patterns are most likely, with high pressure probably close to the UK at times, at least initially. This should offer some occasional periods of dry weather, but there is always the chance in this type of setup that areas of low pressure nearby could impact parts of the UK, leading to some wetter conditions at times. Temperatures will likely fluctuate either side of, but often close to, average.