Shap (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Dry and bright. Rain arriving during the evening.

Today:

A dry and bright start on Tuesday morning. Skies will turn hazy into the afternoon as cloud increases from the west. Largely overcast by late afternoon. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy with rain reaching the region before midnight. The rain will become heavy and persistent for a time and will be accompanied by strong and gusty winds. Minimum temperature 6 °C.

Wednesday:

Cloud and rain clearing readily to the south early Wednesday morning, skies brightening with scattered showers during the afternoon. Feeling warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Largely settled on Thursday with variable amounts of cloud and a few showers. Turning increasingly cloudy from Friday, as rain moves slowly but erratically in from the west. Normal temperatures.

Fairly changeable at first, with cloud and rain moving slowly east across the UK, probably easing and breaking into showers as it does so, with more settled conditions developing later in the weekend away from the far northwest. Into the following week, it will most probably be high pressure dominated, with large amounts of fine weather, and perhaps the odd heavy shower, especially in the south. Any more unsettled interludes liable to be brief and mainly affecting western or northwestern UK. However, there is a small chance of an alternative scenario coming off, with cloudier and wetter weather more extensive, especially across the south and west of the UK. Winds are most likely to be light, with temperatures probably at or slightly above normal.

The period begins with the two alternate scenarios continuing, most likely widely dry and settled, but a lower chance of more unsettled and wet conditions, especially in the south and west. Towards the middle of the month signals become weak and mixed, with more balanced chances of dry / settled and wetter / unsettled conditions. But compared to the start of this period, this represents an increased chance of more unsettled / wet conditions. There is however a strong signal for temperatures to be at or above average.