2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
90%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
15
|
SSW
16
|
SSW
17
|
SSW
18
|
SSW
19
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
SW
18
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
12
|
SW
10
|
SW
9
|
SW
9
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
43
|
42
|
44
|
47
|
46
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
47
|
48
|
49
|
48
|
45
|
42
|
37
|
33
|
30
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
30
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
85%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
81%
|
79%
|
82%
|
83%
|
79%
|
80%
|
78%
|
83%
|
84%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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13:00
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15:00
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16:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
30%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
12
|
S
13
|
S
14
|
S
14
|
SSE
14
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SE
17
|
SE
18
|
SE
19
|
SE
19
|
SE
19
|
SE
18
|
SE
18
|
SE
17
|
SE
17
|
SE
17
|
SE
16
|
SE
16
|
SE
15
|
SE
15
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
32
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
33
|
35
|
35
|
35
|
36
|
37
|
38
|
39
|
38
|
37
|
36
|
37
|
36
|
36
|
35
|
33
|
32
|
32
|
30
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
82%
|
82%
|
82%
|
82%
|
82%
|
81%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
14
|
SE
13
|
SE
13
|
SE
13
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
11
|
ESE
11
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
10
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
9
|
E
8
|
E
8
|
E
8
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
29
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
81%
|
80%
|
79%
|
79%
|
80%
|
81%
|
82%
|
82%
|
83%
|
82%
|
81%
|
82%
|
82%
|
83%
|
84%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
E
6
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
9
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
7
|
SE
7
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
7
|
SE
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
8°
|
6°
|
4°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
6°
|
5°
|
3°
|
1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
7
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
5
|
SE
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
11
|
9
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
90%
|
92%
|
90%
|
92%
|
97%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
4°
|
3°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
4
|
SE
4
|
SE
5
|
SE
6
|
SE
6
|
SE
7
|
ESE
6
|
SE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
6
|
6
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
93%
|
95%
|
97%
|
96%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Dunvegan weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
Evening rain. Sunny spells and blustery showers Friday.
Dry start in east but occasionally heavy rain in west spreads east this evening, clearing towards midnight. Scattered frequent heavy showers following on behind overnight. Strong southwesterly winds with coastal gales Minimum temperature 4 °C.
A breezy day with frequent blustery showers, occasionally heavy with a chance of thunder in the west. Drier and brighter in the east. Strong southwesterly winds with coastal gales. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Cloudy on Saturday with patchy rain, mainly in south. Dry in west with clear or sunny spells Sunday and Monday but cloudier in east with occasional rain. Southeasterly winds.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure will probably be close to the UK at the start of this period, perhaps most likely centred to the west, and whilst this may allow relatively settled and dry conditions with a risk of frost and fog initially, there will be the chance of some occasional wet weather at times, perhaps more especially in the north and east. Given some relatively cold air close to the UK, this may bring the chance of some wintry hazards in places. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to develop more widely, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: