Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
18
|
NW
18
|
NW
22
|
NNW
23
|
NNW
22
|
NNW
20
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
17
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
93%
|
91%
|
89%
|
87%
|
85%
|
85%
|
83%
|
81%
|
85%
|
86%
|
91%
|
93%
|
94%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
94%
|
91%
|
92%
|
93%
|
96%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
W
13
|
W
14
|
W
16
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
25
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
20
|
24
|
22
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
28
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
93%
|
90%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
90%
|
92%
|
93%
|
95%
|
98%
|
99%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
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18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
25
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
29
|
27
|
27
|
29
|
26
|
28
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
27
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
98%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
97%
|
98%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
25
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
23
|
W
23
|
W
22
|
W
22
|
W
22
|
W
22
|
W
21
|
W
21
|
W
18
|
W
16
|
W
15
|
W
14
|
W
14
|
W
10
|
W
10
|
WNW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
27
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
89%
|
90%
|
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
94%
|
96%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
8
|
WNW
10
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NNW
11
|
NW
15
|
NW
17
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
11
|
13
|
18
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
18
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
93%
|
80%
|
71%
|
68%
|
75%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
4°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
10
|
W
10
|
SW
11
|
SW
13
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
15
|
W
15
|
WSW
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
13
|
19
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
21
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
95%
|
93%
|
84%
|
77%
|
83%
|
85%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sgurr Mhic Choinnich weather map
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Southeast bright and warm Tuesday, cloudier with light rain northwest
The north and west remaining cloudy with a little light rain possible. The south and east staying dry with some sunshine breaking through, becoming warm. Maximum temperature 20 °C.
Cloudy in the northwest with outbreaks of light rain and drizzle possible. The southeast will stay dry with late evening sunny spells then clear spells overnight. Minimum temperature 11 °C.
Another cloudy day in the northwest with light rain and drizzle possible. Drier and mostly cloudy in the southeast with some sunny spells breaking through. Maximum temperature 19 °C.
A mostly cloudy few days with outbreaks of rain and drizzle, perhaps heavier on Friday and Saturday. Drier with bright intervals in the southeast. Fresher winds Thursday and Friday.
Updated:
This period looks like being largely changeable, with many parts likely to see some rain at times. Rain will spread southeast across most if not all parts of the UK through this weekend, with some showers following. Further bands of rain look likely to spread southeast next week, interspersed with sunny spells and some showers. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are hints that high pressure could return for a time, which would mean dry conditions resuming, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, but occasionally fresh or strong around some coasts, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, warmest in the south, and perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. Some rain is still likely at times, especially across northern parts. Although many areas may see mainly dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light to moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: