Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
16°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
18°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
11
|
SE
11
|
SE
11
|
SE
11
|
SE
13
|
SE
12
|
SE
11
|
ESE
8
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
6
|
ESE
6
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
7
|
SE
6
|
SSE
6
|
SSE
6
|
SE
6
|
SW
6
|
S
7
|
S
9
|
S
9
|
ESE
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
8
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
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VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
74%
|
73%
|
69%
|
66%
|
65%
|
66%
|
66%
|
64%
|
62%
|
60%
|
58%
|
55%
|
51%
|
47%
|
44%
|
42%
|
42%
|
44%
|
45%
|
52%
|
66%
|
71%
|
74%
|
78%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
14°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
17°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNE
7
|
N
7
|
ENE
8
|
NE
8
|
NE
8
|
NE
9
|
NE
8
|
NNE
6
|
N
6
|
N
5
|
N
7
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
N
7
|
N
8
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
NNE
9
|
SE
9
|
SE
9
|
ESE
8
|
E
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
9
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
81%
|
78%
|
75%
|
73%
|
68%
|
65%
|
62%
|
55%
|
53%
|
49%
|
46%
|
48%
|
53%
|
59%
|
68%
|
76%
|
83%
|
85%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
8
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
ENE
9
|
NE
9
|
NE
8
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
8
|
N
8
|
N
10
|
N
9
|
N
10
|
N
10
|
N
10
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
10
|
NNE
9
|
N
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
83%
|
82%
|
82%
|
84%
|
85%
|
84%
|
78%
|
73%
|
70%
|
65%
|
60%
|
55%
|
53%
|
52%
|
49%
|
47%
|
48%
|
51%
|
54%
|
61%
|
68%
|
75%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
10°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
16
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
N
14
|
N
11
|
N
11
|
N
9
|
NNE
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
11
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
86%
|
87%
|
89%
|
89%
|
89%
|
87%
|
84%
|
78%
|
75%
|
73%
|
69%
|
65%
|
63%
|
61%
|
57%
|
56%
|
56%
|
56%
|
57%
|
62%
|
70%
|
75%
|
80%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
6°
|
8°
|
10°
|
13°
|
14°
|
13°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
3°
|
6°
|
8°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNE
9
|
NNE
7
|
NNW
8
|
NW
7
|
NW
9
|
NW
11
|
NW
14
|
NW
11
|
NW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
8
|
12
|
17
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
82%
|
84%
|
85%
|
80%
|
65%
|
56%
|
49%
|
54%
|
79%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
5°
|
6°
|
8°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
3°
|
4°
|
6°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NNW
8
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
7
|
8
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
15
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
96%
|
91%
|
78%
|
65%
|
62%
|
63%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
5°
|
7°
|
10°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
2°
|
5°
|
8°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
N
7
|
WNW
8
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
8
|
W
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
9
|
10
|
15
|
17
|
16
|
14
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
98%
|
94%
|
78%
|
61%
|
56%
|
57%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
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Low cloud burning back to coast. Very warm inland.
This evening will be dry with some late sunshine. Then the rest of the night will remain dry with some low cloud and fog patches. Minimum temperature 11 °C.
Low cloud burning back to the coast in the morning where it may linger into the afternoon. Otherwise another dry and sunny day. Very warm inland, cooler in the east. Maximum temperature 25 °C.
Staying dry with some sunshine, still some low cloud along the east coast. Warm, locally hot on Thursday in the west. Eastern coastal areas cooler.
Updated:
Remaining predominantly dry for most parts of the country as high pressure is likely to remain close to the UK for much of this period. However, with the source region of the air being from the North Atlantic, it will be somewhat less hot compared to many recent days. Any showers during the start of the period are more likely across the far north. Towards the latter part of July, the influence of high pressure may wane somewhat, allowing a greater chance of rain, showers or thunderstorms compared to earlier in the month. Overall, temperatures are expected to remain above average during this period.
Updated:
Perhaps a somewhat more changeable period, with the potential for showers or thunderstorms or even some longer spells of rain at times. Drier and brighter interludes are also likely, perhaps more likely across the south and southeast. Temperatures are likely to be above normal with some hot spells possible.
Updated: