2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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13:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
50%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
35
|
SSE
36
|
SSE
36
|
SSE
35
|
SSE
33
|
S
31
|
S
25
|
SSW
21
|
SW
20
|
SW
22
|
SW
25
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
39
|
39
|
39
|
39
|
37
|
34
|
28
|
24
|
26
|
31
|
34
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
93%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
96%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
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04:00
|
05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
80%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
60%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-11°
|
-11°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
30
|
SSW
36
|
SSW
41
|
SSW
43
|
SSW
45
|
SSW
45
|
SSW
39
|
SW
38
|
SW
37
|
SW
36
|
SW
36
|
WSW
37
|
WSW
43
|
WSW
43
|
WSW
42
|
WSW
40
|
WSW
37
|
WSW
33
|
SW
30
|
SW
30
|
SW
29
|
SW
29
|
SW
29
|
SSW
27
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
40
|
45
|
48
|
50
|
50
|
50
|
47
|
46
|
46
|
45
|
47
|
47
|
47
|
47
|
46
|
44
|
40
|
37
|
35
|
33
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
30
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
P
|
E
|
E
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
98%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
92%
|
89%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
40%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
26
|
SSW
24
|
SSW
24
|
SSW
24
|
S
25
|
S
26
|
SSE
28
|
SSE
29
|
SSE
30
|
SSE
31
|
SSE
32
|
SSE
36
|
SSE
37
|
SSE
37
|
SSE
37
|
SSE
37
|
SE
37
|
SE
38
|
SE
37
|
SE
36
|
SE
34
|
SE
32
|
SE
30
|
SE
26
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
29
|
27
|
26
|
27
|
29
|
30
|
32
|
33
|
34
|
36
|
39
|
40
|
40
|
41
|
41
|
41
|
42
|
42
|
40
|
39
|
37
|
36
|
33
|
29
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
22
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
28
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
28
|
E
27
|
E
25
|
E
24
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
ENE
23
|
ENE
23
|
ENE
21
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
28
|
27
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
31
|
31
|
30
|
31
|
30
|
29
|
28
|
29
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
30
|
30
|
29
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
70%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-6°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
20
|
ENE
20
|
E
20
|
ENE
20
|
ENE
21
|
ENE
22
|
E
23
|
E
24
|
ESE
24
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
27
|
ESE
29
|
ESE
30
|
ESE
30
|
ESE
29
|
ESE
29
|
SE
27
|
SE
30
|
SE
28
|
SE
27
|
SE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
21
|
SE
23
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
29
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
31
|
31
|
31
|
32
|
32
|
33
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
32
|
31
|
33
|
33
|
31
|
29
|
29
|
28
|
25
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
21
|
SE
19
|
ESE
13
|
ESE
12
|
ESE
15
|
E
13
|
E
11
|
E
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
20
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
89%
|
89%
|
92%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-5°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
12
|
E
11
|
E
12
|
E
10
|
E
11
|
ENE
12
|
E
10
|
E
12
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
P
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P
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| Humidity |
92%
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93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
90%
|
92%
|
95%
|
94%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Geal Charn (917m) weather map
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Rain spreading to the west this afternoon, east drier.
Bright spells this morning with a few showers, these becoming confined to the west. Cloudy this afternoon with outbreaks of rain spreading northeast, becoming persistent and occasionally heavy across the west. Windy along the west coast at times. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
Rain will spread across all parts for a time this evening. Scattered frequent heavy showers following on behind overnight. Windy with strong to gale southwesterly winds. Minimum temperature 4 °C.
A windy day with frequent showers, occasionally heavy with a chance of thunder in the west. Drier and brighter in the east. Strong to gale southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Cloudy on Saturday with patchy rain, mainly in the south. Occasional rain on Sunday and Monday, mainly across the east.
Updated:
Unsettled conditions are likely to continue at first, with low pressure probably centred somewhere to the southwest of the UK, whilst high pressure becomes established to the northeast. This means a broadly easterly flow will become increasingly dominant through next week, whilst periods of rain or showers become increasingly confined to southern or southwestern parts. With time, high pressure is signaled to become more dominant with more in the way of dry, settled weather anticipated though there could be some isolated showers to eastern parts, that could perhaps be wintry at times. Temperatures will lower compared to recent weeks, closer to or perhaps a little below average for many. Overnight frost and fog or freezing fog could become more prevalent, though any particularly cold conditions look unlikely at this stage.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: