Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
63%
|
61%
|
60%
|
61%
|
63%
|
67%
|
72%
|
79%
|
85%
|
89%
|
| UV | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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08:00
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09:00
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11:00
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13:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
7
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
11
|
NW
14
|
NW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
18
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
19
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
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VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
95%
|
92%
|
86%
|
83%
|
76%
|
74%
|
71%
|
65%
|
62%
|
60%
|
58%
|
60%
|
63%
|
66%
|
73%
|
78%
|
85%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
NW
21
|
NW
19
|
NW
21
|
NW
19
|
NW
20
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
WNW
16
|
NW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
90%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
93%
|
92%
|
90%
|
86%
|
84%
|
82%
|
78%
|
76%
|
76%
|
75%
|
76%
|
78%
|
82%
|
85%
|
88%
|
92%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
W
13
|
WNW
13
|
W
14
|
W
15
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
17
|
WNW
17
|
W
18
|
W
19
|
W
19
|
W
21
|
W
22
|
W
23
|
W
25
|
W
25
|
W
25
|
W
25
|
W
24
|
W
23
|
W
21
|
W
21
|
WSW
21
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
19
|
17
|
20
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
25
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
96%
|
94%
|
93%
|
91%
|
87%
|
80%
|
78%
|
76%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
78%
|
81%
|
86%
|
91%
|
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
22
|
W
23
|
W
22
|
W
23
|
W
23
|
W
23
|
W
22
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
30
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
23
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
25
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
22
|
25
|
24
|
26
|
28
|
29
|
34
|
35
|
37
|
36
|
35
|
33
|
28
|
26
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
91%
|
88%
|
86%
|
84%
|
84%
|
82%
|
81%
|
80%
|
82%
|
84%
|
85%
|
87%
|
87%
|
91%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
23
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
21
|
W
21
|
W
22
|
WNW
17
|
WNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
25
|
23
|
22
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
23
|
21
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
85%
|
76%
|
73%
|
76%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
7°
|
8°
|
7°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
16
|
WNW
15
|
WNW
16
|
W
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
12
|
18
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
18
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
93%
|
90%
|
74%
|
64%
|
60%
|
67%
|
82%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
Meall Garbh (968m) weather map
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Dry on Monday with sunny spells developing.
A mostly cloudy morning with the odd spot of light rain possible around eastern coasts, but predominately dry. A dry afternoon with cloud breaking up to allow bright and sunny spells to break through. Light winds. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
Dry with some sunny spells at first but generally turning cloudier through the evening. Remaining largely dry and cloudy overnight with some clearer intervals, these mostly in the west. Minimum temperature 11 °C.
A dry start with sunny spells. Any cloud gradually breaking up through the day to give largely clear skies and plenty of sunshine in the afternoon. Warmer than recent days. Maximum temperature 25 °C.
A largely dry and settled few days with the odd spot of rain possible at times. Cloudy at times but still plenty of bright or sunny spells on offer.
Updated:
This period looks like being largely changeable, with many parts likely to see some rain at times. Rain will spread southeast across most if not all parts of the UK through this weekend, with some showers following. Further bands of rain look likely to spread southeast next week, interspersed with sunny spells and some showers. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are hints that high pressure could return for a time, which would mean dry conditions resuming, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, but occasionally fresh or strong around some coasts, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, warmest in the south, and perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. Some rain is still likely at times, especially across northern parts. Although many areas may see mainly dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light to moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: