Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
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15°
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16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
7°
|
5°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
18
|
15
|
16
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
93%
|
92%
|
85%
|
81%
|
75%
|
67%
|
64%
|
59%
|
56%
|
52%
|
46%
|
45%
|
46%
|
54%
|
57%
|
65%
|
74%
|
81%
|
85%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
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7°
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8°
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8°
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9°
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9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
16
|
NNW
18
|
NNW
17
|
NNW
15
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
13
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
14
|
NNW
16
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
21
|
NW
19
|
NW
18
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
NW
13
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
18
|
20
|
18
|
15
|
16
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
21
|
20
|
23
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
87%
|
90%
|
90%
|
89%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
83%
|
81%
|
78%
|
77%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
76%
|
79%
|
84%
|
86%
|
88%
|
91%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
13
|
NW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
W
11
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
14
|
W
14
|
W
15
|
W
15
|
W
14
|
W
13
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
W
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
13
|
14
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
21
|
20
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
93%
|
90%
|
85%
|
82%
|
76%
|
72%
|
67%
|
65%
|
63%
|
62%
|
63%
|
65%
|
67%
|
73%
|
79%
|
86%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
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08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
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11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
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15:00
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16:00
|
17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
11
|
WSW
12
|
WSW
13
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
14
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
15
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
22
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
21
|
WSW
20
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
22
|
24
|
25
|
27
|
29
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
31
|
31
|
30
|
29
|
29
|
27
|
26
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
94%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
91%
|
88%
|
86%
|
83%
|
78%
|
77%
|
73%
|
74%
|
72%
|
73%
|
77%
|
80%
|
79%
|
80%
|
84%
|
85%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
18
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
19
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
17
|
WSW
16
|
WSW
18
|
WSW
21
|
WSW
21
|
WSW
21
|
WSW
20
|
W
21
|
W
21
|
W
20
|
W
19
|
W
16
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
20
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
92%
|
90%
|
87%
|
85%
|
81%
|
78%
|
77%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
77%
|
80%
|
86%
|
90%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
9°
|
7°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
7°
|
8°
|
6°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
8
|
WNW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NNW
11
|
WNW
13
|
WNW
16
|
NW
13
|
WNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
10
|
12
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
95%
|
96%
|
92%
|
79%
|
68%
|
66%
|
74%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
6°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
5°
|
7°
|
8°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
W
9
|
WSW
10
|
W
11
|
W
14
|
W
13
|
W
13
|
W
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
12
|
18
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
19
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
94%
|
90%
|
76%
|
65%
|
66%
|
75%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
Creag Leacach weather map
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Dry with some very warm sunshine on Tuesday.
A dry start with sunny spells. Any cloud gradually breaking up through the day to give largely clear skies and plenty of sunshine in the afternoon. Very warm. Maximum temperature 25 °C.
A dry evening with largely clear skies and evening sunshine to start but turning cloudier. Dry and mostly cloudy overnight with clear intervals in the west. Minimum temperature 10 °C.
It will be a dry day with variable cloud but still plenty of long sunny spells. Feeling very warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
Mostly dry on Thursday with sunny spells. Then becoming mostly cloudy on Friday with a little light rain possible. Cloudy with rain, perhaps heavy, spreading eastwards on Saturday.
Updated:
This period looks like being largely changeable, with many parts likely to see some rain at times. Rain will spread southeast across most if not all parts of the UK through this weekend, with some showers following. Further bands of rain look likely to spread southeast next week, interspersed with sunny spells and some showers. Confidence becomes lower as we approach the turn of the month, but there are hints that high pressure could return for a time, which would mean dry conditions resuming, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, but occasionally fresh or strong around some coasts, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, warmest in the south, and perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. Some rain is still likely at times, especially across northern parts. Although many areas may see mainly dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light to moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: